Adobe Inc (ADBE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to ADBE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.50%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 8.69.   Maximum drawdown: -13.37% on 17 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 98.98%. Time in market: 234 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1276.55 on 15 November 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Adobe

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 4 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.50%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.50%.
Wins: 4 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Adobe Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
10 August 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 42 79 94 96 69 61 schedule schedule schedule
28 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump 86 88 94 95 69 94 schedule schedule schedule
20 July 2026  bubble_chart Collapsed Bubble 48 84 94 95 71 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 45 87 94 95 72 66 schedule schedule schedule
07 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 65 90 94 95 72 81 schedule schedule schedule
06 July 2026  bubble_chart Collapsed Bubble 68 90 94 95 72 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 June 2026  bubble_chart Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) 81 86 94 95 71 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 June 2026  bubble_chart Rate of Change 90 86 94 95 71 95 schedule schedule schedule
25 June 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (52) 71 85 94 95 71 84 schedule schedule schedule
25 June 2026  bubble_chart Super Oversold (GD) 76 74 94 95 71 83 schedule schedule schedule

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
11 June 2026  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 224.36 36 75 94 95 71 55 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2026  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 242.39 67 95 94 92 70 83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
20 February 2026  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 256.80 71 82 93 93 74 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
14 January 2026  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 306.50 43 66 94 93 79 59 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 November 2025  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 324.12 64 88 94 95 79 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
15 October 2025  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 333.02 64 87 94 87 75 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
11 August 2025  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 334.09 65 76 94 86 70 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
13 March 2025  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 391.56 84 93 95 83 73 93 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
19 December 2024  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 440.40 63 96 95 82 74 80 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 September 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 316.14 76 94 100 84 83 88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 374.50 95 95 100 84 84 99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
25 April 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 409.82 87 94 100 92 90 95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
08 March 2022  bubble_chart 52 Week Low $ 432.02 85 89 100 85 85 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Adobe Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ADBE) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 12 Aug 2026.