Arch Capital Group Ltd (ACGL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to ACGL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.12%. Win rate: 84.21%. Sharpe Ratio: -2.127. Maximum drawdown: -45.35% on 14 May 2020.
Mean CAGR: 123.5%. Time in market: 2453 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2060.65 on 02 February 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Arch Capital Group

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 19 signal(s) occurring before 08 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (84.21% * 8.34%) + (15.79% * 0.61%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.12%.
Wins: 16 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Arch Capital Group Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
28 May 2026 smart_toyLOW (34) account_balanceLOW	50 Day Low	$ 90.80	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
16 October 2025 smart_toyLOW (70) account_balanceLOW	50 Day Low	$ 87.28	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
03 July 2025 smart_toyLOW (39) account_balanceLOW	50 Day Low	$ 89.04	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	schedule
07 April 2025 smart_toyHIGH (90) account_balanceHIGH sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 85.92	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
12 February 2025 smart_toyLOW (44) account_balanceLOW	50 Day Low	$ 88.34	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
10 December 2024 smart_toyLOW (68) account_balanceLOW	50 Day Low	$ 94.30	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
31 October 2024 smart_toyLOW (55)	50 Day Low	$ 100.34	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
22 July 2024 smart_toyLOW (41)	50 Day Low	$ 96.35	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
14 December 2023 smart_toyLOW (49)	50 Day Low	$ 76.32	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 September 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (89) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 42.23	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 June 2022 smart_toyLOW (77)	50 Day Low	$ 45.14	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
01 October 2021 smart_toyLOW (61)	50 Day Low	$ 38.16	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
17 June 2021 smart_toyLOW (41)	50 Day Low	$ 38.94	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
27 January 2021 smart_toyLOW (49)	50 Day Low	$ 32.14	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2020 smart_toyLOW (57)	50 Day Low	$ 28.50	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 April 2020 smart_toyLOW (71) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 24.09	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2020 smart_toyMEDIUM (82)	50 Day Low	$ 40.82	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
20 December 2018 smart_toyHIGH (94) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 26.13	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 October 2018 smart_toyLOW (34)	50 Day Low	$ 29.08	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
03 May 2018 smart_toyLOW (47)	50 Day Low	$ 26.10	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
13 March 2018 smart_toyLOW (42)	50 Day Low	$ 28.52	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
06 February 2018 smart_toyLOW (70) sirenFIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 28.89	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
03 January 2018 smart_toyLOW (50)	50 Day Low	$ 29.46	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
01 December 2017 smart_toyLOW (55)	50 Day Low	$ 31.58	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
08 September 2017 smart_toyLOW (67)	50 Day Low	$ 30.92	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
09 June 2017 smart_toyLOW (52)	50 Day Low	$ 30.87	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
02 November 2016 smart_toyLOW (71)	50 Day Low	$ 25.70	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt

The data for Arch Capital Group Ltd (exchange: XNAS symbol: ACGL) was last updated 16 Jul 2026 03:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 15 Jul 2026.