Apple Inc (AAPL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results laptop_car

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to AAPL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.25%.   Win rate: 97.56%.   Sharpe Ratio: -6.175.   Maximum drawdown: -31.61% on 03 January 2019.
Mean CAGR: 129.66%. Time in market: 3099 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $5419.03 on 11 June 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Apple

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 41 signal(s) occurring before 23 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (97.56% * 8.44%) + (2.44% * 0.53%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.25%.
Wins: 40 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Apple Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 June 2026      computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 285.26 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 March 2026   smart_toyLOW (58)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 252.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 January 2026   smart_toyLOW (78)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 253.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 May 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (44)    computerLOW   Mega Dump Lite $ 194.47 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 April 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (92)     Mega Dump Lite $ 193.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 March 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (74)     Mega Dump Lite $ 213.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 January 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (38)     Mega Dump Lite $ 223.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 September 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (52)     Mega Dump Lite $ 225.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
30 July 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (60)     Mega Dump Lite $ 219.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 March 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (51)     Mega Dump Lite $ 172.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 January 2024  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (64)     Mega Dump Lite $ 184.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 September 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (52)     Mega Dump Lite $ 174.69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 August 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (53)     Mega Dump Lite $ 176.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 January 2023  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)     Mega Dump Lite $ 127.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 November 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     Mega Dump Lite $ 148.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (93)     Mega Dump Lite $ 139.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 September 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (90)     Mega Dump Lite $ 156.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
08 July 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (92)     Mega Dump Lite $ 146.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
06 June 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (78)     Mega Dump Lite $ 146.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
03 May 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     Mega Dump Lite $ 158.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
01 April 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (54)     Mega Dump Lite $ 174.17 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 March 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (69)     Mega Dump Lite $ 163.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
27 January 2022  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (67)     Mega Dump Lite $ 160.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 October 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (52)     Mega Dump Lite $ 149.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (58)     Mega Dump Lite $ 146.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 June 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (45)     Mega Dump Lite $ 129.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 May 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (46)     Mega Dump Lite $ 126.85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 April 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (61)     Mega Dump Lite $ 123.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 March 2021  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (48)     Mega Dump Lite $ 125.77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 November 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (75)     Mega Dump Lite $ 115.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 October 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (76)     Mega Dump Lite $ 115.53 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 September 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (67)     Mega Dump Lite $ 114.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 April 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyHIGH (95)     Mega Dump Lite $ 59.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 March 2020  bubble_chart   smart_toyMEDIUM (80)     Mega Dump Lite $ 70.83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 August 2019   smart_toyMEDIUM (88)     Mega Dump Lite $ 48.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 June 2019   smart_toyLOW (72)     Mega Dump Lite $ 47.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 May 2019   smart_toyLOW (64)     Mega Dump Lite $ 45.89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 January 2019   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 36.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 December 2018   smart_toyMEDIUM (82)     Mega Dump Lite $ 40.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 November 2018   smart_toyLOW (51)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 50.13 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 April 2018   smart_toyMEDIUM (86)     Mega Dump Lite $ 38.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2018   smart_toyLOW (71)     Mega Dump Lite $ 40.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 February 2018   smart_toyLOW (69)     Mega Dump Lite $ 38.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 September 2017   smart_toyLOW (72)     Mega Dump Lite $ 36.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 June 2017   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     Mega Dump Lite $ 34.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 November 2016   smart_toyLOW (75)     Mega Dump Lite $ 25.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 June 2016   smart_toyLOW (72)     Mega Dump Lite $ 22.79 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 May 2016   smart_toyLOW (74)     Mega Dump Lite $ 21.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 January 2016   smart_toyHIGH (93)     Mega Dump Lite $ 22.71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 December 2015   smart_toyLOW (73)     Mega Dump Lite $ 24.53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Apple Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: AAPL) was last updated 01 Jul 2026 09:10. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 30 Jun 2026.