Apple Inc (AAPL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results laptop_car

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to AAPL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.24%.   Win rate: 97.62%.   Sharpe Ratio: -6.557.   Maximum drawdown: -31.61% on 03 January 2019.
Mean CAGR: 127.51%. Time in market: 3179 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $5829.79 on 18 October 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Apple

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 42 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (97.62% * 8.42%) + (2.38% * 0.53%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.24%.
Wins: 41 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Apple Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
05 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite 60 79 100 92 79 74 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026 Gap Down 43 81 100 92 79 62 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 65 86 100 92 81 79 schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026 Oversold Rebound 62 71 100 92 81 73 schedule schedule schedule
09 June 2026 Double Seven 45 78 100 92 81 63 schedule schedule schedule
09 June 2026 Gap Down 31 78 100 92 81 51 schedule schedule schedule
17 April 2026 Double Bottom 87 90 100 88 81 94 schedule schedule schedule
17 April 2026 Double Bottom 87 90 100 88 81 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 April 2026 Double Seven 55 90 100 88 81 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite 58 95 100 89 81 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
05 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 310.18 60 79 100 92 79 74 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 285.26 65 86 100 92 81 79 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 March 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 252.73 58 95 100 89 81 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 January 2026 Mega Dump Lite $ 253.44 78 72 100 90 86 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 May 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 194.47 44 81 100 73 78 62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 April 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 193.21 92 90 100 70 79 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 March 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 213.42 74 89 100 70 80 83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 January 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 223.78 38 88 100 71 80 58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 September 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 225.66 52 85 100 71 85 68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
30 July 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 219.00 60 82 100 68 85 73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 March 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 172.84 51 85 100 86 89 69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 January 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 184.30 64 77 100 67 90 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 September 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 174.69 52 96 100 74 91 70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 August 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 176.69 53 91 100 79 92 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 January 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 127.82 85 89 100 71 72 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 November 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 148.62 80 95 100 71 75 89 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 139.44 93 95 100 69 74 97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 September 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 156.42 90 94 100 69 74 95 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
08 July 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 146.15 92 93 100 69 74 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
06 June 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 146.58 78 95 100 69 75 88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
03 May 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 158.82 83 96 100 75 82 92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
01 April 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 174.17 54 93 100 71 74 72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 March 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 163.95 69 91 100 61 76 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
27 January 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 160.84 67 92 100 61 76 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 October 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 149.32 52 92 100 71 78 70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 146.74 58 95 100 74 78 75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 June 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 129.79 45 76 100 58 81 59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 May 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 126.85 46 81 100 54 80 61 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 April 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 123.33 61 88 100 52 82 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 March 2021  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 125.77 48 63 100 55 80 58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 November 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 115.76 75 94 100 78 92 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 October 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 115.53 76 94 100 79 92 87 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 September 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 114.52 67 95 100 80 90 82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 April 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 59.15 95 95 100 79 92 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 March 2020  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 70.83 80 95 100 79 85 90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 August 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 48.75 88 94 100 78 80 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 June 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 47.64 72 85 100 77 78 82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 May 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 45.89 64 83 100 79 78 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 January 2019 Mega Dump Lite $ 36.04 84 77 100 69 85 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 December 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 40.76 82 94 100 70 84 90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 November 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 50.13 51 79 100 72 80 66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 April 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 38.80 86 88 100 8 68 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 40.52 71 94 100 23 61 75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 February 2018 Mega Dump Lite $ 38.66 69 88 100 24 62 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 September 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 36.22 72 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 June 2017 Mega Dump Lite $ 34.18 84 48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 November 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 25.17 75 95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 June 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.79 72 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 May 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 21.63 74 85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 January 2016 Mega Dump Lite $ 22.71 93 76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 December 2015 Mega Dump Lite $ 24.53 73 90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Apple Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: AAPL) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.