Apple Inc (AAPL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results laptop_car

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to AAPL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.72%. Win rate: 88.89%. Sharpe Ratio: 1.045. Maximum drawdown: -26.90% on 05 January 2023.
Mean CAGR: 148%. Time in market: 861 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1673.84 on 07 June 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Apple

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 9 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (88.89% * 8.66%) + (11.11% * 0.24%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.72%.
Wins: 8 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Apple Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date	Signal Type	Scores						Performance
		Signal	Sector	WR	Speed	Risk	Overall	5%	6%	7.5%
05 August 2026	Mega Dump Lite	60	79	100	92	79	74	schedule	schedule	schedule
31 July 2026	Gap Down	43	81	100	92	79	62	schedule	schedule	schedule
30 June 2026	Mega Dump Lite	65	86	100	92	81	79	schedule	schedule	schedule
22 June 2026	Oversold Rebound	62	71	100	92	81	73	schedule	schedule	schedule
09 June 2026	Gap Down	31	78	100	92	81	51	schedule	schedule	schedule
09 June 2026	Double Seven	45	78	100	92	81	63	schedule	schedule	schedule
17 April 2026	Double Bottom	87	90	100	88	81	94	schedule	schedule	schedule
17 April 2026	Double Bottom	87	90	100	88	81	94	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 April 2026	Double Seven	55	90	100	88	81	73	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2026	Mega Dump Lite	58	95	100	89	81	76	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date	Buy Signal	Price	Scores						Performance (mouseover for details)
			Signal	Sector	WR	Speed	Risk	Overall	5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
13 May 2025 bubble_chart	Gap Up	$ 211.68	55	82	100	73	79	70	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
15 April 2025 bubble_chart	Gap Up	$ 202.00	85	91	100	70	79	91	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
03 February 2025 bubble_chart	Gap Up	$ 229.00	71	86	100	72	80	81	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
06 May 2024 bubble_chart	Gap Up	$ 182.03	51	77	100	73	88	65	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 November 2022 bubble_chart	Gap Up	$ 147.76	77	92	100	71	75	86	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
31 January 2022 bubble_chart	Gap Up	$ 172.47	43	90	100	61	76	62	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
03 August 2020 bubble_chart	Gap Up	$ 106.14	66	89	100	80	89	79	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 March 2020 bubble_chart	Gap Up	$ 60.48	96	91	100	79	92	98	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020 bubble_chart	Gap Up	$ 59.01	95	96	100	79	89	99	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 January 2019	Gap Up	$ 39.84	91	87	100	69	83	93	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 August 2017	Gap Up	$ 36.62	76	43					select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
28 July 2016	Gap Up	$ 23.81	93	90					select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt

The data for Apple Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: AAPL) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.