Apple Inc (AAPL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results laptop_car

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to AAPL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.75%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 1.464.   Maximum drawdown: -32.34% on 03 January 2019.
Mean CAGR: 143.41%. Time in market: 1308 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3286.70 on 05 June 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Apple

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 19 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.75%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.75%.
Wins: 19 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Apple Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 January 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.879  factory0.607   50 Day Low $ 261.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
12 March 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.978  factory0.84   50 Day Low $ 218.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 January 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.841  factory0.713   50 Day Low $ 221.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 April 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.843  factory0.489   50 Day Low $ 168.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 February 2024  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.934  factory0.814   50 Day Low $ 181.01 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 September 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.895  factory0.761   50 Day Low $ 172.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 August 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.946  factory0.719   50 Day Low $ 176.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 December 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.913  factory0.838   50 Day Low $ 135.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 November 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.898  factory0.883   50 Day Low $ 138.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 September 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.996  factory0.918   50 Day Low $ 148.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
16 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.99  factory0.922   50 Day Low $ 131.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 May 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.986  factory0.879   50 Day Low $ 150.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 February 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.873  factory0.703   50 Day Low $ 157.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
28 September 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.867  factory0.741   50 Day Low $ 142.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.483  factory0.506   50 Day Low $ 120.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 February 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.57  factory0.737   50 Day Low $ 64.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 May 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.848  factory0.889   50 Day Low $ 43.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.927  factory0.88   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 40.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.968  factory0.891   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 50.67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 January 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.953  factory0.726   50 Day Low $ 39.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 July 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.873  factory0.837   50 Day Low $ 33.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 April 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.863  factory0.669   50 Day Low $ 21.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Apple Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: AAPL) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 29 May 2026.