Bayer AG (BAYN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to BAYN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -6.49%.   Win rate: 60.0%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.658.   Maximum drawdown: -67.15% on 19 December 2024.
Mean CAGR: 94.05%. Time in market: 6226 days.   Hypothetical return: €1000 would be worth €258.28 on 02 December 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Bayer AG

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 20 signal(s) occurring before 04 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (60.0% * 8.30%) + (15.00% * 2.28%) - (25.00% * 47.26%) = -6.49%.
Wins: 12 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 5

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Bayer AG Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
28 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 38 54 63 77 25 52 schedule schedule schedule
06 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 77 46 60 76 28 73 schedule schedule schedule
06 July 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 61 46 60 76 28 64 schedule schedule schedule
15 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 33 38 60 76 28 43 schedule schedule schedule
02 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 31 41 58 78 25 43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 June 2026  bubble_chart 50 Day Low 38 41 58 78 25 48 schedule schedule schedule
29 May 2026  bubble_chart Williams %R (Weekly) 44 42 58 78 25 52 schedule schedule schedule
26 May 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 54 44 58 78 25 59 schedule schedule schedule
12 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 39 62 59 76 25 55 schedule schedule schedule
28 April 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 64 64 57 78 22 73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
28 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite € 47.11 38 54 63 77 25 52 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite € 36.54 33 38 60 76 28 43 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite € 37.60 39 62 59 76 25 55 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 April 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite € 40.24 60 54 58 77 22 67 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 March 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite € 38.86 64 64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 November 2025 Mega Dump Lite € 30.21 59 62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 October 2025 Mega Dump Lite € 27.29 60 60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 September 2025 Mega Dump Lite € 27.87 59 61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 August 2025 Mega Dump Lite € 25.82 67 46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2025 Mega Dump Lite € 22.89 58 55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 April 2025 Mega Dump Lite € 20.48 93 91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 December 2024 Mega Dump Lite € 18.93 79 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2024 Mega Dump Lite € 20.22 74 77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 October 2024 Mega Dump Lite € 26.61 54 77 87 26 60 62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 July 2024 Mega Dump Lite € 26.67 39 38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 June 2024 Mega Dump Lite € 27.73 43 65 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
07 May 2024 Mega Dump Lite € 28.34 60 50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 April 2024 Mega Dump Lite € 28.48 53 78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 February 2024 Mega Dump Lite € 28.92 50 63 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 January 2024 Mega Dump Lite € 32.76 62 61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 December 2023 Mega Dump Lite € 32.01 61 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
13 November 2023 Mega Dump Lite € 40.40 58 90 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 October 2023 Mega Dump Lite € 44.37 47 60 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
21 June 2023 Mega Dump Lite € 50.96 41 59 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 May 2023 Mega Dump Lite € 54.00 61 55 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 March 2023 Mega Dump Lite € 57.63 74 67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
31 January 2023 Mega Dump Lite € 56.89 78 67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 December 2022 Mega Dump Lite € 48.82 87 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 October 2022 Mega Dump Lite € 49.81 88 93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 September 2022 Mega Dump Lite € 54.12 74 82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
12 August 2022 Mega Dump Lite € 53.04 60 67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
11 July 2022 Mega Dump Lite € 56.58 89 91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 June 2022 Mega Dump Lite € 66.08 72 87 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 May 2022 Mega Dump Lite € 61.00 76 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 March 2022 Mega Dump Lite € 51.90 68 86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Bayer AG (exchange: XFRA symbol: BAYN) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 04:38. Data for this stock is available from 03 Jan 2022 - 11 Aug 2026.