Bayer AG (BAYN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to BAYN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: -21.86%.   Win rate: 33.33%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.373.   Maximum drawdown: -59.73% on 19 December 2024.
Mean CAGR: 51.23%. Time in market: 1490 days.   Hypothetical return: €1000 would be worth €584.80 on 25 September 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Bayer AG

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 3 signal(s) occurring before 24 December 2023 for a 7.5% profit target: (33.33% * 8.64%) + (0% * 0%) - (66.67% * 37.10%) = -21.86%.
Wins: 1 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 2

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Bayer AG Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

 

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
19 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.655   52 Week Low € 18.93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 October 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.272   52 Week Low € 25.71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.516   52 Week Low € 25.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
05 March 2024   HIGH   smart_toy0.36   52 Week Low € 27.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
30 January 2024   HIGH   smart_toy0.92   52 Week Low € 30.39 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 November 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.617   52 Week Low € 30.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
27 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.844   52 Week Low € 40.78 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
25 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.763   52 Week Low € 47.00 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for Bayer AG (exchange: XFRA symbol: BAYN) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 03 Jan 2022 - 30 Dec 2025.