iShares MSCI India Small-Cap (SMIN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to SMIN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.95%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: ∞.   Maximum drawdown: -1.14% on 22 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 107.01%. Time in market: 43 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1089.50 on 29 July 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for India Small Cap

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 1 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.95%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.95%.
Wins: 1 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 March 2026   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.595 Super Oversold $ 58.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
13 March 2026   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.536 Super Oversold $ 61.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
20 January 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.489 Super Oversold $ 65.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 February 2025   HIGH     smart_toy0.548 Super Oversold $ 62.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 February 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.722 Super Oversold $ 65.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 January 2025   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.885 Super Oversold $ 70.87 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
13 January 2025   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.885 Super Oversold $ 70.87 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
16 June 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.79 Super Oversold $ 48.27 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for iShares MSCI India Small-Cap (exchange: XCBO symbol: SMIN) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 07:47. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 29 Apr 2026.