ARK Space Exploration & Innovation (ARKX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to ARKX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -0.87%.   Win rate: 69.23%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.596.   Maximum drawdown: -42.24% on 28 December 2022.
Mean CAGR: 45.3%. Time in market: 7019 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $592.20 on 26 September 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Space Exploration

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 26 signal(s) occurring before 26 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (69.23% * 8.05%) + (7.69% * 1.01%) - (23.08% * 28.25%) = -0.87%.
Wins: 18 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 6

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 May 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 36.60 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 April 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 33.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
23 March 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 30.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 February 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 31.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
13 January 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 34.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
12 December 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 29.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 November 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 29.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 October 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 31.44 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
03 September 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 25.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 July 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 26.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 May 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 21.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 April 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 18.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 16.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 March 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 19.09 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 18.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 February 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 21.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 January 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 20.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 January 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 19.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 December 2024   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 19.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 December 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 19.49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 November 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 19.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 November 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 16.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 October 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 16.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 October 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 16.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 15.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 August 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 15.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 August 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 15.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 July 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 15.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 July 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 15.33 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 June 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 14.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 June 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 14.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 May 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 15.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 May 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 15.45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 April 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 14.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
11 March 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 14.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 February 2024   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 14.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 January 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 14.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
02 October 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 13.70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 September 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 13.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 August 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 14.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
28 August 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 14.16 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
28 July 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 15.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 July 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 15.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 June 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 14.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
23 June 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 14.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
14 April 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 13.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 March 2023   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 13.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
14 March 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 13.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 February 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 13.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 February 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 14.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 November 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 20.20 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 October 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 19.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 September 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 20.88 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 August 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 20.38 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 July 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 20.10 select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 July 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 20.87 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
17 June 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 20.54 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for ARK Space Exploration & Innovation (exchange: XCBO symbol: ARKX) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this ETF is available from 01 Apr 2021 - 02 Jun 2026.