Universal Music Group N.V. (UMG) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to UMG's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 10.33%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: ∞.   Maximum drawdown: -9.02% on 08 March 2022.
Mean CAGR: 278.83%. Time in market: 27 days.   Hypothetical return: €1000 would be worth €1103.30 on 17 March 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Universal Music Group

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 1 signal(s) occurring before 04 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 10.33%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 10.33%.
Wins: 1 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Universal Music Group Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
06 August 2026 Mega Dump Lite 47 24 100 87 70 45 schedule schedule schedule
06 August 2026 Mega Dump 97 24 100 87 70 67 schedule schedule schedule
05 August 2026 Rate of Change 63 23 100 87 70 53 schedule schedule schedule
03 August 2026 Super Oversold (GD) 78 21 100 87 70 57 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 59 23 100 87 70 51 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026 Super Oversold (52) 72 23 100 87 70 56 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026 52 Week Low 74 23 100 87 70 57 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026 26 Week Low 67 23 100 87 70 54 schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026 50 Day Low 55 23 100 87 70 49 schedule schedule schedule
14 July 2026 Gap Down 20 20 100 86 73 26 schedule schedule schedule

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
03 August 2026 Super Oversold (GD) € 14.35 78 21 100 87 70 57 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2026 Super Oversold (52) € 15.30 72 23 100 87 70 56 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 March 2026 Super Oversold (52) € 16.38 87 36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 March 2026 Super Oversold (26) € 17.44 72 39 100 83 77 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
09 March 2026 Super Oversold (52) € 17.44 72 39 100 83 77 66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
17 February 2026 Super Oversold (26) € 19.31 49 32 100 84 79 50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
04 February 2026 Super Oversold (26) € 19.48 58 34 100 84 80 56 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 January 2026 Super Oversold (26) € 20.90 71 33 100 84 80 62 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 February 2022 Super Oversold (RoC) € 19.82 68 58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Universal Music Group N.V. (exchange: XAMS symbol: UMG) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 04:38. Data for this stock is available from 03 Jan 2022 - 11 Aug 2026.