Heineken N.V. (HEIA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to HEIA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -2.32%. Win rate: 66.67%. Sharpe Ratio: -0.572. Maximum drawdown: -37.20% on 15 January 2025.
Mean CAGR: 47.56%. Time in market: 1114 days. Hypothetical return: €1000 would be worth €831.75 on 22 April 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Heineken

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 3 signal(s) occurring before 17 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (66.67% * 8.09%) + (0% * 0%) - (33.33% * 23.15%) = -2.32%.
Wins: 2 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Heineken Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date	Signal Type	Score	Performance
			5%	6%	7.5%
22 June 2026	Double Seven	smart_toyLOW (43) emoji_food_beverageLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
10 June 2026	Double Bottom	smart_toyLOW (55) emoji_food_beverageLOW	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 May 2026	Gap Down	smart_toyLOW (30) emoji_food_beverageLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
11 May 2026	52 Week Low	smart_toyLOW (19) emoji_food_beverageLOW	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 May 2026	26 Week Low	smart_toyLOW (28) emoji_food_beverageLOW	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 April 2026	50 Day Low	smart_toyLOW (20) emoji_food_beverageLOW	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
29 April 2026	Williams %R (Weekly)	smart_toyLOW (19) emoji_food_beverageLOW	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
17 April 2026	Mega Dump Lite	smart_toyLOW (38) emoji_food_beverageLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
07 April 2026	Double Seven	smart_toyLOW (27) emoji_food_beverageLOW	schedule	schedule	schedule
30 March 2026	26 Week Low	smart_toyLOW (21) emoji_food_beverageLOW	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt

Gap Up Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Gap Up entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
13 February 2026 smart_toyLOW (35) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Gap Up	€ 78.87	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
29 July 2025 smart_toyLOW (49) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Gap Up	€ 71.63	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	schedule
13 February 2025 smart_toyLOW (33) emoji_food_beverageLOW	Gap Up	€ 79.36	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
20 April 2023 smart_toyLOW (53)	Gap Up	€ 102.29	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
27 June 2022 smart_toyHIGH (92)	Gap Up	€ 88.55	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
21 April 2022 smart_toyLOW (54)	Gap Up	€ 93.26	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box

The data for Heineken N.V. (exchange: XAMS symbol: HEIA) was last updated 27 Jul 2026 07:54. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2022 - 24 Jul 2026.