Oil & Gas Production and Exploration (XOP) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to XOP's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 7.95%.   Win rate: 96.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.051.   Maximum drawdown: -29.34% on 14 July 2022.
Mean CAGR: 167.72%. Time in market: 2112 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2916.57 on 01 April 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Oil and Gas

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 25 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (96.00% * 8.28%) + (4.00% * 0.09%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.95%.
Wins: 24 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
15 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.601   Mega Dump Lite $ 172.56 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.41   Mega Dump Lite $ 169.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
27 January 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.725   Mega Dump Lite $ 135.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 December 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.846   Mega Dump Lite $ 125.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.765   Mega Dump Lite $ 124.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.919   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 113.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.768   Mega Dump Lite $ 131.87 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.668   Mega Dump Lite $ 129.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 January 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.727   Mega Dump Lite $ 139.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.51   Mega Dump Lite $ 127.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
15 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.726   Mega Dump Lite $ 134.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
13 September 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.655   Mega Dump Lite $ 128.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
08 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.657   Mega Dump Lite $ 135.05 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
22 January 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.726   Mega Dump Lite $ 128.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 November 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.762   Mega Dump Lite $ 138.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 October 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.702   Mega Dump Lite $ 144.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 May 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.925   Mega Dump Lite $ 118.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 April 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.506   Mega Dump Lite $ 125.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 March 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.478   Mega Dump Lite $ 122.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 February 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.46   Mega Dump Lite $ 129.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
17 January 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.587   Mega Dump Lite $ 140.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 December 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.756   Mega Dump Lite $ 138.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 October 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.887   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 140.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
12 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.68   Mega Dump Lite $ 145.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
09 August 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.649   Mega Dump Lite $ 131.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 July 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.988   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 112.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.649   Mega Dump Lite $ 158.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.914   Mega Dump Lite $ 133.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 March 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.463   Mega Dump Lite $ 123.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 January 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.884   Mega Dump Lite $ 106.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 December 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.77   Mega Dump Lite $ 99.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 November 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.818   Mega Dump Lite $ 104.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 August 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.96   Mega Dump Lite $ 81.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 July 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.938   Mega Dump Lite $ 84.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 June 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.976   Mega Dump Lite $ 95.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 April 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.808   Mega Dump Lite $ 78.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 March 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.846   Mega Dump Lite $ 83.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 February 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.988   Mega Dump Lite $ 65.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Oil & Gas Production and Exploration (exchange: ARCX symbol: XOP) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 15 May 2026.