Oil & Gas Production and Exploration (XOP) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to XOP's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.86%.   Win rate: 80.43%.   Sharpe Ratio: -9.015.   Maximum drawdown: -33.34% on 07 April 2025.
Mean CAGR: 116.64%. Time in market: 8574 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2804.27 on 02 March 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Oil and Gas

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 46 signal(s) occurring before 26 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (80.43% * 8.72%) + (15.22% * 1.68%) - (4.35% * 9.34%) = 6.86%.
Wins: 37 Breakevens: 7 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 May 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 170.04 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 May 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 180.10 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 April 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 170.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 April 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 179.50 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 December 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 126.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 November 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 128.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 October 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 126.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 October 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 126.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 September 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 129.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 September 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 129.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 January 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 139.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 December 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 141.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 December 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 144.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 August 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 138.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 July 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 143.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 July 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 145.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 June 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 143.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 June 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 143.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 May 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 152.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 May 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 151.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 April 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 154.29 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 April 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 156.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 February 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 130.71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 January 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 134.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
03 January 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 138.51 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 December 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 140.82 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
01 December 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 138.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 November 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 138.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
30 October 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 143.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 October 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 148.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
26 September 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 144.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 September 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 149.36 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
25 August 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 145.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 August 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 144.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 February 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 138.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 December 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 138.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 December 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 133.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
22 November 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 155.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 November 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 159.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 October 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 140.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
12 September 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 145.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
09 August 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 131.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 July 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 112.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 June 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 160.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 June 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 158.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 May 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 130.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 April 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 133.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 March 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 133.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 March 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 135.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 February 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 110.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 February 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 109.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 January 2022   LOW     Double Seven $ 99.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 January 2022   LOW     Double Seven $ 110.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 93.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 December 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 95.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 November 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 103.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 November 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 107.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 July 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 82.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 June 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 99.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 May 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 87.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 April 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 75.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 March 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 82.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 March 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 84.13 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 January 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 66.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Oil & Gas Production and Exploration (exchange: ARCX symbol: XOP) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 02 Jun 2026.