SPDR S&P Metals & Mining (XME) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to XME's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.29%.   Win rate: 95.45%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.155.   Maximum drawdown: -29.26% on 26 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 152.76%. Time in market: 2198 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2549.35 on 01 April 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for US Metals & Mining

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 22 signal(s) occurring before 15 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (95.45% * 8.64%) + (4.55% * 1.02%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.29%.
Wins: 21 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
22 May 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.761   Mega Dump Lite $ 116.48 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 April 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.236   Mega Dump Lite $ 113.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
10 March 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.914   Mega Dump Lite $ 113.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
04 February 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.8   Mega Dump Lite $ 124.04 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 December 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.81   Mega Dump Lite $ 96.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 October 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.859   Mega Dump Lite $ 98.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 August 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.757   Mega Dump Lite $ 74.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 May 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.866   Mega Dump Lite $ 59.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.955   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 50.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 March 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.808   Mega Dump Lite $ 56.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 January 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.742   Mega Dump Lite $ 58.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 December 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.634   Mega Dump Lite $ 57.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 September 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.802   Mega Dump Lite $ 64.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
26 August 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.735   Mega Dump Lite $ 60.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 July 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.492   Mega Dump Lite $ 62.13 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
20 June 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.907   Mega Dump Lite $ 59.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 January 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.761   Mega Dump Lite $ 56.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 June 2023  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.888   Mega Dump Lite $ 48.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 May 2023  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.907   Mega Dump Lite $ 47.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 April 2023  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.656   Mega Dump Lite $ 50.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
21 March 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.771   Mega Dump Lite $ 50.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
21 December 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.836   Mega Dump Lite $ 51.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 October 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.962   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 45.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 September 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.881   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 50.93 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 August 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.84   Mega Dump Lite $ 49.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
06 July 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.983   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 41.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 June 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.971   Mega Dump Lite $ 53.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 April 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.914   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 57.93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 February 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.875   Mega Dump Lite $ 45.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 January 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.657   Mega Dump Lite $ 45.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 December 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.547   Mega Dump Lite $ 41.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 October 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.967   Mega Dump Lite $ 42.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 August 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.99   Mega Dump Lite $ 44.89 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 July 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.888   Mega Dump Lite $ 42.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 June 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.652   Mega Dump Lite $ 42.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 April 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.935   Mega Dump Lite $ 40.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 March 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.821   Mega Dump Lite $ 37.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 February 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.988   Mega Dump Lite $ 33.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for SPDR S&P Metals & Mining (exchange: ARCX symbol: XME) was last updated 24 May 2026 14:50. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 22 May 2026.