SPDR S&P Metals & Mining (XME) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to XME's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.40%.   Win rate: 95.83%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.52.   Maximum drawdown: -29.26% on 26 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 151.5%. Time in market: 2328 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3061.51 on 06 November 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for US Metals & Mining

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 24 signal(s) occurring before 03 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (95.83% * 8.72%) + (4.17% * 1.02%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.40%.
Wins: 23 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 102.89 29 50 100 93 82 43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
23 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 111.22 32 40 100 93 83 43 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
22 May 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 116.48 43 26 100 93 83 44 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 April 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 113.54 49 59 100 89 83 60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
10 March 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 113.30 56 69 100 89 85 68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
04 February 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 124.04 50 50 100 91 87 58 select_check_box schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 December 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 96.18 59 65 100 90 87 69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 October 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 98.12 41 60 100 89 88 54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 August 2025 Mega Dump Lite $ 74.84 33 48 100 84 83 46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 May 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 59.46 37 38 100 86 85 45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 50.48 92 91 100 81 85 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 March 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 56.12 40 49 100 81 85 51 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 January 2025  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 58.94 35 70 100 82 85 53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 December 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 57.28 48 73 100 80 85 63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 September 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 64.34 41 62 100 77 86 55 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
26 August 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 60.20 39 57 100 76 87 52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 July 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 62.13 31 44 100 83 86 43 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
20 June 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 59.09 27 57 100 89 90 43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 January 2024  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 56.52 38 49 100 83 97 49 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 June 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 48.92 23 57 100 95 99 39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 May 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 47.07 36 58 100 96 99 50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 April 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 50.64 39 37 100 99 100 47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
21 March 2023  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 50.85 69 83 100 99 98 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
21 December 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 51.04 83 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 October 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 45.25 77 90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 September 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 50.93 67 75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 August 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 49.16 69 60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
06 July 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 41.28 82 87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 June 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 53.68 73 77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 April 2022  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite $ 57.93 63 89 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 February 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 45.54 28 74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 January 2022 Mega Dump Lite $ 45.96 29 70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 December 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 41.30 45 82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 October 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 42.18 35 75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 August 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 44.89 35 49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 July 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 42.92 38 52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 June 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 42.86 35 31 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 April 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 40.60 31 36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 March 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 37.68 35 60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 February 2021 Mega Dump Lite $ 33.82 41 44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for SPDR S&P Metals & Mining (exchange: ARCX symbol: XME) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:17. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 10 Aug 2026.