SPDR S&P Metals & Mining (XME) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to XME's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.18%.   Win rate: 97.73%.   Sharpe Ratio: -8.301.   Maximum drawdown: -37.88% on 26 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 122.27%. Time in market: 5211 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2972.70 on 17 October 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for US Metals & Mining

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 44 signal(s) occurring before 26 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (97.73% * 8.53%) + (0% * 0%) - (2.27% * 7.02%) = 8.18%.
Wins: 43 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 May 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 123.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 May 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 123.08 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 April 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 112.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
07 April 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 109.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
09 March 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 109.81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
06 March 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 110.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
03 February 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 123.78 select_check_box schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 February 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 118.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
31 December 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 103.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 November 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 92.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 October 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 97.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 September 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 81.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 July 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 73.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 July 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 74.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 December 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 61.45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
12 November 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 67.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
09 October 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 62.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 August 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 60.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 August 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 57.55 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 July 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 62.13 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 July 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 60.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 June 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 59.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 June 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 61.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
20 May 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 64.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 April 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 59.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
16 April 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 60.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 March 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 58.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 March 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 56.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 February 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 55.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 February 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 56.53 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 January 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 56.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 January 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 57.94 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 December 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 53.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 December 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 53.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 September 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 52.25 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 August 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 51.67 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 August 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 51.59 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 May 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 47.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 May 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 47.03 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 April 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 50.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
14 April 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 52.75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 March 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 50.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
14 March 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 52.77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 February 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 56.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 February 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 55.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 January 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 55.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 December 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 51.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
23 September 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 42.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 August 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 49.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 June 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 45.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 May 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 51.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
18 April 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 65.96 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
15 March 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 54.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 January 2022   LOW     Double Seven $ 43.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 December 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 42.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 November 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 46.48 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 October 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 42.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 September 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 45.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 August 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 44.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
29 June 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 42.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 May 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 46.19 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
26 May 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 44.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 April 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 40.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 April 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 40.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 March 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 37.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 March 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 39.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 February 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 35.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for SPDR S&P Metals & Mining (exchange: ARCX symbol: XME) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 02 Jun 2026.