Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results corporate_fare

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to XLK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.90%.   Win rate: 84.38%.   Sharpe Ratio: -5.833.   Maximum drawdown: -31.22% on 12 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 89.01%. Time in market: 4115 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1361.89 on 19 January 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for US Technology

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 32 signal(s) occurring before 26 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (84.38% * 8.03%) + (15.62% * 0.75%) - (0% * 0%) = 6.90%.
Wins: 27 Breakevens: 5 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
20 May 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 175.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
19 May 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 172.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
30 March 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 129.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 130.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 139.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 February 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 139.35 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 January 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 144.81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 January 2026   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 142.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 December 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 145.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 December 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 142.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 November 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 140.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 November 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 142.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 October 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 142.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 October 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 142.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
05 September 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 132.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 August 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 130.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 June 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 123.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 May 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 113.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 May 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 114.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 March 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 104.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 108.89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 February 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 116.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 January 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 116.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 January 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 117.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
30 December 2024   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 117.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
17 December 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 119.93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
26 November 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 117.35 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 November 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 115.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
25 October 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 115.17 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 October 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 116.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 September 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 111.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
10 September 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 104.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 August 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 112.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 August 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 102.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
18 July 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 112.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 July 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 117.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 June 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 105.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
30 April 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 99.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 March 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 104.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 February 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 102.92 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 January 2024   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 100.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 December 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 96.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 November 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 92.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 October 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 84.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 September 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 85.03 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 August 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 84.07 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 July 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 86.01 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 June 2023   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 83.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
08 June 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 82.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 May 2023   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 75.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 April 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 75.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 March 2023   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 72.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 72.75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 February 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 68.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 February 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 68.61 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 April 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 76.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 March 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 71.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
11 February 2022   LOW     Double Seven $ 77.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 January 2022   LOW     Double Seven $ 81.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 December 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 84.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 November 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 82.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 October 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 73.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
31 August 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 78.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
30 July 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 75.46 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
28 June 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 72.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 May 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 68.41 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 April 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 69.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 March 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 64.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 February 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 67.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (exchange: ARCX symbol: XLK) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 02 Jun 2026.