Industrials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results corporate_fare

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to XLI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 5.24%.   Win rate: 62.16%.   Sharpe Ratio: -13.107.   Maximum drawdown: -20.97% on 30 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 32.9%. Time in market: 9335 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1368.04 on 23 February 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for US Industrials

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 37 signal(s) occurring before 26 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (62.16% * 7.88%) + (37.84% * 0.91%) - (0% * 0%) = 5.24%.
Wins: 23 Breakevens: 14 Losses: 0

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
11 May 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 174.14 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 April 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 163.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
06 March 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 169.85 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 January 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 166.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
15 December 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 157.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
12 December 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 157.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
11 November 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 154.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
10 November 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 154.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
10 October 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 151.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
07 October 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 154.80 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
05 September 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 151.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
04 August 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 150.69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
30 June 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 147.29 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 May 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 142.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
04 April 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 120.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 130.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 March 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 132.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 February 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 137.85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 January 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 138.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 January 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 132.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 December 2024   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 131.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 December 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 142.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 November 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 143.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 November 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 134.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 October 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 135.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 September 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 135.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 September 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 133.45 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
27 August 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 129.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
20 August 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 127.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 July 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 125.95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 July 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 125.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 June 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 122.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 June 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 121.61 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 May 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 125.25 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
14 May 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 125.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
18 April 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 121.19 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 April 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 124.19 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 March 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 121.99 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 February 2024   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 115.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
04 January 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 111.33 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 November 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 105.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 September 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 101.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 August 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 107.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 July 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 109.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 June 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 103.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 May 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 99.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 April 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 101.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
17 March 2023   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 97.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 February 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 102.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 January 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 100.57 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 December 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 99.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 December 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 98.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 May 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 94.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 April 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 99.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 April 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 100.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 February 2022   LOW     Double Seven $ 97.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 January 2022   LOW     Double Seven $ 97.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 January 2022   LOW     Double Seven $ 103.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 December 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 102.77 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 December 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 103.19 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 November 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 103.85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 November 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 104.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 October 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 97.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
03 September 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 102.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 August 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 100.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 June 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 99.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 May 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 102.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 April 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 98.85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 March 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 92.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
19 February 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 87.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Industrials Select Sector SPDR Fund (exchange: ARCX symbol: XLI) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 02 Jun 2026.