Industrials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results corporate_fare

Buy indicator: 52 week low 50 day low Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down (4-15%)
Rate of Change Mega Dump Super Oversold Super-Duper Oversold [ What are these indicators? | Switch to XLI's monthly backtests ]
Profit target: 5% 7.5% 10% 20% [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]
Expectancy: 5.34%. See below chart for calculations and explanation. Win rate: 100%. Maximum drawdown: 8.86% on 14 July 2022.
Mean CAGR: 69.54%. Time in market: 161 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1108.68 on 18 October 2022
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Expectancy Calculations for US Industrials

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 3 signal(s) occurring before 20 December 2023 for a 5% profit target: (100% * 5.34%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 5.34%.
Wins: 3 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

52 Week Low Backtest Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
		5%	7.5%	10%	20%
04 April 2025	$120.10	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 September 2022	$83.78	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022	$87.36	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
09 May 2022	$92.52	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box

The data for Industrials Select Sector SPDR Fund (exchange: ARCX symbol: XLI) was last updated 27 Dec 2025 06:38. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 26 Dec 2025.