Energy Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results corporate_fare

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to XLE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.89%.   Win rate: 81.03%.   Sharpe Ratio: -13.172.   Maximum drawdown: -20.41% on 14 July 2022.
Mean CAGR: 112.02%. Time in market: 8583 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3104.79 on 21 January 2026.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for US Energy

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 58 signal(s) occurring before 26 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (81.03% * 8.33%) + (18.97% * 0.73%) - (0% * 0%) = 6.89%.
Wins: 47 Breakevens: 11 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
15 May 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 59.07 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 May 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 57.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 April 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 57.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
09 April 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 57.76 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 March 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 56.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
16 January 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 47.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 January 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 47.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 December 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 45.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 December 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 45.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 November 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 45.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 October 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 44.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 October 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 43.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 September 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 44.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 September 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 43.70 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 March 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 46.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 February 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 44.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 January 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 43.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
23 December 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 41.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
02 December 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 47.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 November 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 47.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 October 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 44.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
16 October 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 45.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
24 September 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 44.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
26 August 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 45.65 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 August 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 44.97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
23 July 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 45.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 July 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 45.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 June 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 44.89 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 June 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 44.37 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 May 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 47.34 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 May 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 47.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 April 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 47.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 April 2024  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 47.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 November 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 42.37 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
30 October 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 42.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 October 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 44.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 September 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 44.89 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 September 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 46.01 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 August 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 43.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
17 August 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 44.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 May 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 39.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
28 April 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 42.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
06 April 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 42.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 March 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 39.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
06 March 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 43.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 February 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 42.05 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 January 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 44.69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 January 2023  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 45.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 December 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 43.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 December 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 42.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
28 November 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 44.29 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 November 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 44.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 October 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 43.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
30 September 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 35.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 September 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 38.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 August 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 40.85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 August 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 38.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 July 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 36.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 July 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 34.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 June 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 35.77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 June 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 41.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
20 May 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 39.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 May 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 37.29 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 April 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 39.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
08 April 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 38.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 March 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 34.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 March 2022  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 37.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 February 2022   LOW     Double Seven $ 33.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 February 2022   LOW     Double Seven $ 33.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 January 2022   LOW     Double Seven $ 29.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 January 2022   LOW     Double Seven $ 27.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 December 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 27.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 November 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 25.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 November 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 27.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 October 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 27.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 August 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 23.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 July 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 23.01 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 July 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 24.54 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 June 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 25.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 June 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 25.43 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 May 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 24.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 April 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 23.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 April 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 22.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 March 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 23.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 March 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 23.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 22.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 January 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 19.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Energy Sector SPDR Fund (exchange: ARCX symbol: XLE) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 02 Jun 2026.