SPDR Biotech (XBI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results corporate_fare

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to XBI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -5.48%.   Win rate: 75.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.071.   Maximum drawdown: -60.33% on 12 May 2022.
Mean CAGR: 39.32%. Time in market: 3722 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $623.71 on 09 January 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for US Biotech

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 12 signal(s) occurring before 25 December 2023 for a 7.5% profit target: (75.00% * 8.47%) + (0% * 0%) - (25.00% * 47.31%) = -5.48%.
Wins: 9 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
18 December 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 120.56 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 November 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 108.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
29 September 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 98.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 September 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 93.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 August 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 89.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 December 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 93.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 November 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 104.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 October 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 96.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 September 2024   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 97.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 August 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 92.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
02 July 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 91.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
29 May 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 87.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
26 April 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 83.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 March 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 93.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
21 February 2024   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 92.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
18 January 2024   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 87.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
17 January 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 88.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
28 August 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 79.05 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 July 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 83.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 June 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 87.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 May 2023   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 85.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 March 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 76.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 March 2023   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 79.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 February 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 85.47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 February 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 85.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 January 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 82.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
23 March 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 142.16 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 February 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 157.67 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
17 February 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 160.06 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for SPDR Biotech (exchange: ARCX symbol: XBI) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 31 Dec 2025.