United States Commodity Index Fund (USCI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.
Calculations for United States Commodities
Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.
Expectancy calculation for 20 signal(s) occurring before 23 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (45.00% * 8.16%) + (15.00% * 1.85%) - (40.0% * 16.01%) = -2.46%.
Wins: 9 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 8
The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.
MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)
This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.
Key:
= profit point not achieved.
= profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
= profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%.
= profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.
| Signal Date, Score and Sector Score | Buy Signal | Price | Performance (mouseover for details) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6% | 7.5% | 10% | 20% | |||
| 29 June 2026 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 91.74 | |||||
| 10 March 2026 smart_toyLOW (20) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 89.90 | |||||
| 05 February 2026 smart_toyLOW (38) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 80.94 | |||||
| 13 May 2025 smart_toyLOW (30) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 71.78 | |||||
| 11 April 2025 smart_toyMEDIUM (86) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 67.26 | |||||
| 08 May 2023 smart_toyLOW (60) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 53.80 | |||||
| 01 August 2022 smart_toyLOW (64) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 53.60 | |||||
| 28 June 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (82) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 56.44 | |||||
| 19 April 2022 smart_toyLOW (44) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 58.64 | |||||
| 18 March 2022 smart_toyLOW (26) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 54.41 | |||||
| 06 December 2021 smart_toyLOW (37) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 40.88 | |||||
| 14 April 2020 smart_toyMEDIUM (88) sirenFIRE SALE | Mega Dump Lite | $ 25.96 | |||||
| 10 March 2020 smart_toyHIGH (92) sirenFIRE SALE | Mega Dump Lite | $ 29.50 | |||||
| 06 February 2020 smart_toyLOW (27) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 33.13 | |||||
| 07 May 2015 smart_toyLOW (30) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 47.15 | |||||
| 19 December 2014 smart_toyLOW (32) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 49.82 | |||||
| 01 November 2011 smart_toyLOW (38) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 61.02 | |||||
| 28 September 2011 smart_toyMEDIUM (82) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 59.03 | |||||
| 16 August 2011 smart_toyLOW (52) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 63.50 | |||||
| 15 July 2011 smart_toyLOW (20) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 66.78 | |||||
| 13 June 2011 smart_toyLOW (29) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 67.02 | |||||
| 10 May 2011 smart_toyLOW (23) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 67.44 | |||||
| 18 March 2011 smart_toyLOW (31) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 68.74 | |||||
| 21 December 2010 smart_toyLOW (54) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 63.65 | |||||
| 19 November 2010 smart_toyLOW (52) | Mega Dump Lite | $ 57.76 | |||||
The data for United States Commodity Index Fund (exchange: ARCX symbol: USCI) was last updated 01 Jul 2026 05:06. Data for this ETF is available from 10 Aug 2010 - 30 Jun 2026.