Teucrium Soybean Fund (SOYB) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:            
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to SOYB's monthly backtests ]
Profit target:           [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]
Expectancy: 5.45%. See below chart for calculations and explanation.   Win rate: 100%.   Maximum drawdown: 12.47% on 31 May 2023.
Mean CAGR: 74.4%. Time in market: 545 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1234.57 on 06 November 2023
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

 

Expectancy Calculations for Soybeans

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 7 signal(s) occurring before 07 January 2024 for a 5% profit target: (100% * 5.45%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 5.45%.
Wins: 7 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

 

50 Day Low Backtest Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 January 2026 $21.78 schedule schedule schedule schedule
31 December 2025 $21.99 schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 July 2025 $21.37 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
02 December 2024 $21.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
29 October 2024 $21.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 July 2024 $22.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 June 2024 $24.20 schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 February 2024 $24.50 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
16 January 2024 $25.86 schedule schedule schedule schedule
02 October 2023 $27.11 select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
31 May 2023 $23.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 April 2023 $26.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
15 March 2023 $27.38 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 June 2022 $26.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 November 2021 $21.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 October 2021 $21.91 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Teucrium Soybean Fund (exchange: ARCX symbol: SOYB) was last updated 14 Jan 2026 04:42. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 13 Jan 2026.