SPDR Silver Shares ETF (SLV) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to SLV's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.41%.   Win rate: 88.46%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.878.   Maximum drawdown: -33.51% on 01 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 158.45%. Time in market: 3599 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2028.10 on 18 October 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Silver

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 26 signal(s) occurring before 19 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (88.46% * 8.68%) + (3.85% * 1.17%) - (7.69% * 17.09%) = 6.41%.
Wins: 23 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
23 June 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (45)     Mega Dump Lite $ 55.94 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (49)     Mega Dump Lite $ 66.79 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 April 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (40)     Mega Dump Lite $ 71.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
16 March 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (55)     Mega Dump Lite $ 73.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
10 February 2026  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (46)     Mega Dump Lite $ 74.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
02 December 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (60)     Mega Dump Lite $ 52.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 October 2025  bubble_chart   smart_toyLOW (45)     Mega Dump Lite $ 44.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2025   smart_toyLOW (33)     Mega Dump Lite $ 29.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 April 2025   smart_toyMEDIUM (84)     Mega Dump Lite $ 27.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2025   smart_toyLOW (39)     Mega Dump Lite $ 27.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 December 2024   smart_toyLOW (48)     Mega Dump Lite $ 27.01 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 November 2024   smart_toyLOW (39)     Mega Dump Lite $ 28.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 August 2024   smart_toyLOW (38)     Mega Dump Lite $ 26.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 July 2024   smart_toyLOW (29)     Mega Dump Lite $ 28.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 June 2024   smart_toyLOW (28)     Mega Dump Lite $ 27.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
03 May 2024   smart_toyLOW (24)     Mega Dump Lite $ 24.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 December 2023   smart_toyLOW (35)     Mega Dump Lite $ 21.26 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 October 2023   smart_toyLOW (32)     Mega Dump Lite $ 21.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 September 2023   smart_toyLOW (25)     Mega Dump Lite $ 21.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
17 August 2023   smart_toyLOW (17)     Mega Dump Lite $ 20.93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 July 2023   smart_toyLOW (23)     Mega Dump Lite $ 21.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
31 May 2023   smart_toyLOW (26)     Mega Dump Lite $ 21.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 March 2023   smart_toyLOW (50)     Mega Dump Lite $ 21.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
21 February 2023   smart_toyLOW (29)     Mega Dump Lite $ 20.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
25 October 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (85)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 17.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (89)     sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 17.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 August 2022   smart_toyLOW (56)     Mega Dump Lite $ 17.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 July 2022   smart_toyMEDIUM (83)     Mega Dump Lite $ 17.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 June 2022   smart_toyLOW (74)     Mega Dump Lite $ 20.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 May 2022   smart_toyLOW (75)     Mega Dump Lite $ 21.05 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 February 2022   smart_toyLOW (35)     Mega Dump Lite $ 21.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 January 2022   smart_toyLOW (37)     Mega Dump Lite $ 20.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
07 December 2021   smart_toyLOW (45)     Mega Dump Lite $ 20.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
01 October 2021   smart_toyLOW (36)     Mega Dump Lite $ 20.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
30 August 2021   smart_toyLOW (37)     Mega Dump Lite $ 22.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 July 2021   smart_toyLOW (37)     Mega Dump Lite $ 23.13 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 June 2021   smart_toyLOW (32)     Mega Dump Lite $ 23.99 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 April 2021   smart_toyLOW (34)     Mega Dump Lite $ 23.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
02 March 2021   smart_toyLOW (37)     Mega Dump Lite $ 24.65 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 January 2021   smart_toyLOW (41)     Mega Dump Lite $ 24.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default

 

The data for SPDR Silver Shares ETF (exchange: ARCX symbol: SLV) was last updated 01 Jul 2026 05:06. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 26 Jun 2026.