VanEck Rare Earth & Strategic Metals (REMX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to REMX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.86%. Win rate: 77.27%. Sharpe Ratio: -3.273. Maximum drawdown: -49.48% on 07 April 2025.
Mean CAGR: 152.29%. Time in market: 4079 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1256.82 on 02 October 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Rare Earth Metals

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 22 signal(s) occurring before 30 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (77.27% * 9.15%) + (18.18% * 0.80%) - (4.55% * 7.85%) = 6.86%.
Wins: 17 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
29 July 2026 smart_toyLOW (53%) faceLOW (0%) front_loaderLOW	Super Oversold (GD)	$ 65.14	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
20 July 2026 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (72%) faceLOW (0%) front_loaderLOW	Super Oversold (26)	$ 70.10	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
08 July 2026 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (63%) faceLOW (0%) front_loaderLOW	Super Oversold (GD)	$ 79.32	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
04 April 2025 smart_toyMEDIUM (81%) faceLOW (42%) front_loaderLOW sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (52)	$ 35.36	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2025 smart_toyMEDIUM (81%) faceLOW (42%) front_loaderLOW sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (26)	$ 35.36	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
05 August 2024 smart_toyMEDIUM (82%) faceLOW (0%) front_loaderLOW	Super Oversold (26)	$ 37.82	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 July 2024 smart_toyLOW (49%) faceLOW (0%) front_loaderLOW	Super Oversold (26)	$ 40.94	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 June 2024 smart_toyLOW (59%) faceLOW (0%) front_loaderLOW	Super Oversold (52)	$ 43.38	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
21 June 2024 smart_toyLOW (56%) faceLOW (0%) front_loaderLOW	Super Oversold (52)	$ 43.61	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
05 February 2024 smart_toyLOW (74%) faceLOW (0%) front_loaderLOW	Super Oversold (52)	$ 44.76	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 February 2024 smart_toyLOW (73%) faceLOW (0%) front_loaderLOW	Super Oversold (RoC)	$ 46.10	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
02 February 2024 smart_toyLOW (73%) faceLOW (0%) front_loaderLOW	Super Oversold (MD)	$ 46.10	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
22 January 2024 smart_toyLOW (78%) faceLOW (0%) front_loaderLOW	Super Oversold (CB)	$ 48.64	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
22 January 2024 smart_toyLOW (78%) faceLOW (0%) front_loaderLOW	Super Oversold (26)	$ 48.64	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
19 January 2024 smart_toyLOW (75%) faceLOW (0%) front_loaderLOW	Super Oversold (26)	$ 50.20	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
17 January 2024 smart_toyLOW (74%) faceLOW (0%) front_loaderLOW	Super Oversold (26)	$ 50.80	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
05 December 2023 smart_toyLOW (71%) faceLOW (0%) front_loaderLOW	Super Oversold (52)	$ 54.62	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
20 October 2023 smart_toyLOW (77%) faceLOW (35%) front_loaderLOW sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (52)	$ 57.98	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
19 October 2023 smart_toyLOW (73%) faceLOW (22%) front_loaderLOW sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (52)	$ 59.21	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
05 October 2023 smart_toyLOW (62%) faceHIGH (77%) front_loaderHIGH sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (52)	$ 62.00	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
03 October 2023 smart_toyLOW (51%) faceLOW (0%) front_loaderLOW sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (26)	$ 62.75	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
21 September 2023 smart_toyLOW (40%) faceLOW (0%) front_loaderLOW sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (26)	$ 66.86	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
12 July 2022 smart_toyHIGH (93%) faceHIGH (100%) front_loaderHIGH sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (26)	$ 78.90	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 May 2022 smart_toyHIGH (93%) faceHIGH (100%) front_loaderHIGH sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (26)	$ 85.42	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 May 2022 smart_toyHIGH (93%) faceHIGH (100%) front_loaderHIGH	Super Oversold (MD)	$ 85.42	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 May 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (85%) faceHIGH (100%) front_loaderHIGH sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (26)	$ 88.42	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default
09 May 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (87%) faceMEDIUM (50%) front_loaderLOW sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (26)	$ 88.34	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default
25 April 2022 smart_toyLOW (64%) faceLOW (0%) front_loaderLOW sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (GD)	$ 95.26	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default

The data for VanEck Rare Earth & Strategic Metals (exchange: ARCX symbol: REMX) was last updated 07 Aug 2026 04:11. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 06 Aug 2026.