VanEck Rare Earth & Strategic Metals (REMX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to REMX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 3.74%.   Win rate: 80.0%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.761.   Maximum drawdown: -57.23% on 07 April 2025.
Mean CAGR: 166.51%. Time in market: 2323 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1474.52 on 24 July 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Rare Earth Metals

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 15 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (80.0% * 8.57%) + (6.67% * 0.50%) - (13.33% * 23.64%) = 3.74%.
Wins: 12 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
19 March 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.665  factory0.457   50 Day Low $ 82.45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.807  factory0.565   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 38.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.192  factory0.244   50 Day Low $ 43.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 September 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.485  factory0.19   50 Day Low $ 36.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 July 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.357  factory0.181   50 Day Low $ 42.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.258  factory0.146   50 Day Low $ 49.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 January 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.541  factory0.22   50 Day Low $ 54.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 December 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.297  factory0.365   50 Day Low $ 54.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
23 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.655  factory0.442   50 Day Low $ 56.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
19 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.147  factory0.175   50 Day Low $ 69.94 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.166  factory0.164   50 Day Low $ 78.98 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
15 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.377  factory0.509   50 Day Low $ 74.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
19 December 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.634  factory0.605   50 Day Low $ 81.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
29 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.887  factory0.696   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 85.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
22 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.958  factory0.888   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 85.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.464  factory0.563   50 Day Low $ 95.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
15 March 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.892  factory0.486   50 Day Low $ 96.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 January 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.756  factory0.308   50 Day Low $ 102.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.786  factory0.228   50 Day Low $ 104.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 October 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.688  factory0.507   50 Day Low $ 100.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.478  factory0.245   50 Day Low $ 72.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for VanEck Rare Earth & Strategic Metals (exchange: ARCX symbol: REMX) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 29 May 2026.