VanEck Uranium & Nuclear (NLR) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to NLR's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 7.90%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 21.154.   Maximum drawdown: -6.67% on 12 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 135.92%. Time in market: 508 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1351.42 on 02 April 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Uranium & Nuclear

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 7 signal(s) occurring before 15 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 7.90%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.90%.
Wins: 7 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
22 May 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.421   Mega Dump Lite $ 130.80 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
06 April 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.588   Mega Dump Lite $ 133.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
03 March 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.566   Mega Dump Lite $ 144.74 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 January 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.486   Mega Dump Lite $ 151.40 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 December 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.639   Mega Dump Lite $ 125.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 November 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.839   Mega Dump Lite $ 125.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 October 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.537   Mega Dump Lite $ 147.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
22 August 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.468   Mega Dump Lite $ 113.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.609   Mega Dump Lite $ 81.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.731   Mega Dump Lite $ 73.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.318   Mega Dump Lite $ 78.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.643   Mega Dump Lite $ 87.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.307   Mega Dump Lite $ 83.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.453   Mega Dump Lite $ 91.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
08 October 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.306   Mega Dump Lite $ 86.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 September 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.367   Mega Dump Lite $ 72.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 July 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.182   Mega Dump Lite $ 78.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.585   Mega Dump Lite $ 82.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 February 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.414   Mega Dump Lite $ 72.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 June 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.667   Mega Dump Lite $ 56.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 November 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.269   Mega Dump Lite $ 54.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
03 October 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.838   Mega Dump Lite $ 53.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 July 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.669   Mega Dump Lite $ 52.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
23 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.908   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 51.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
13 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.91   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 53.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for VanEck Uranium & Nuclear (exchange: ARCX symbol: NLR) was last updated 24 May 2026 14:50. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 22 May 2026.