VanEck Uranium & Nuclear (NLR) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to NLR's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.77%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 17.033.   Maximum drawdown: -3.94% on 12 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 86.2%. Time in market: 522 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1562.90 on 10 May 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Uranium & Nuclear

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 8 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 7.77%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.77%.
Wins: 8 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
18 May 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.404  factory0.239   50 Day Low $ 129.14 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 March 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.696  factory0.4   50 Day Low $ 133.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
21 November 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.774  factory0.437   50 Day Low $ 121.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.853  factory0.637   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 73.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.382  factory0.277   50 Day Low $ 81.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.622  factory0.301   50 Day Low $ 84.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 July 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.228  factory0.191   50 Day Low $ 79.13 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.173  factory0.54   50 Day Low $ 53.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.694  factory0.828   50 Day Low $ 52.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
14 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.83  factory0.844   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 51.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.911  factory0.819   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 52.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
24 January 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.552  factory0.396   50 Day Low $ 52.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
20 December 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.435  factory0.337   50 Day Low $ 53.12 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
04 August 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.723  factory0.138   50 Day Low $ 51.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 June 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.187  factory0.141   50 Day Low $ 53.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for VanEck Uranium & Nuclear (exchange: ARCX symbol: NLR) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 29 May 2026.