Amplify Mobile Payments (IPAY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to IPAY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -5.42%.   Win rate: 50.0%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.596.   Maximum drawdown: -45.36% on 30 October 2023.
Mean CAGR: 52.49%. Time in market: 4423 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $714.01 on 13 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Mobile Payments

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 12 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (50.0% * 8.52%) + (8.33% * 0.94%) - (41.67% * 23.41%) = -5.42%.
Wins: 6 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 5

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.439  factory0.254   50 Day Low $ 43.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
29 January 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.381  factory0.289   50 Day Low $ 49.62 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.195  factory0.26   50 Day Low $ 51.77 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.483  factory0.235   50 Day Low $ 56.57 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.946  factory0.713   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 48.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.818  factory0.513   50 Day Low $ 55.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
05 August 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.375  factory0.454   50 Day Low $ 44.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 May 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.331  factory0.18   50 Day Low $ 47.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.496  factory0.582   50 Day Low $ 36.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.313  factory0.294   50 Day Low $ 39.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.31  factory0.317   50 Day Low $ 41.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.894  factory0.691   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 38.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.868  factory0.578   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 39.89 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
06 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.791  factory0.499   50 Day Low $ 44.20 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 February 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.385  factory0.256   50 Day Low $ 49.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
21 January 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.85  factory0.297   50 Day Low $ 52.84 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 December 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.526  factory0.294   50 Day Low $ 55.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 November 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.233  factory0.328   50 Day Low $ 65.01 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
29 September 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.554  factory0.271   50 Day Low $ 68.68 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 May 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.587  factory0.167   50 Day Low $ 65.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default

 

The data for Amplify Mobile Payments (exchange: ARCX symbol: IPAY) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 29 May 2026.