iShares U.S. Regional Banks (IAT) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to IAT's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -0.24%.   Win rate: 66.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.213.   Maximum drawdown: -49.44% on 04 May 2023.
Mean CAGR: 82.94%. Time in market: 3052 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1062.05 on 30 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for US Regional Banks

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 12 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (66.67% * 8.44%) + (8.33% * 1.09%) - (25.00% * 23.84%) = -0.24%.
Wins: 8 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
06 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.897  factory0.337   50 Day Low $ 54.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
16 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.758  factory0.395   50 Day Low $ 48.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.99  factory0.746   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 40.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.833  factory0.674   50 Day Low $ 49.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.835  factory0.39   50 Day Low $ 39.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 October 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.858  factory0.526   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 30.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 September 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.835  factory0.425   50 Day Low $ 34.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 April 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.878  factory0.246   50 Day Low $ 33.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.546  factory0.718   50 Day Low $ 45.03 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 December 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.607  factory0.804   50 Day Low $ 46.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
26 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.972  factory0.858   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 48.27 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.896  factory0.91   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 49.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
10 May 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.924  factory0.876   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 52.49 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.887  factory0.359   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 56.42 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 March 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.894  factory0.532   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 58.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
13 December 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.624  factory0.547   50 Day Low $ 61.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
18 June 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.949  factory0.265   50 Day Low $ 55.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for iShares U.S. Regional Banks (exchange: ARCX symbol: IAT) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 29 May 2026.