VanEck Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to GDXJ's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.20%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: ∞.   Maximum drawdown: -1.37% on 18 May 2022.
Mean CAGR: 300%. Time in market: 16 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1082.00 on 02 June 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Junior Gold Miners

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 1 signal(s) occurring before 18 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.20%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.20%.
Wins: 1 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

Mega Dump Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Mega Dump entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 April 2026  bubble_chart       Mega Dump $ 122.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 March 2026  bubble_chart       sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump $ 108.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 November 2025  bubble_chart       Mega Dump $ 91.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 May 2022       sirenFIRE SALE Mega Dump $ 37.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for VanEck Junior Gold Miners (exchange: ARCX symbol: GDXJ) was last updated 26 Jun 2026 05:21. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 25 Jun 2026.