VanEck Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.
Calculations for Junior Gold Miners
Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.
Expectancy calculation for 13 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (92.31% * 8.71%) + (7.69% * 0.08%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.04%.
Wins: 12 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0
To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.
The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.
50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)
This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.
Key:
= profit point not achieved.
= profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
= profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%.
= profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.
| Signal Date and Score | Buy Signal | Price | Performance (mouseover for details) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6% | 7.5% | 10% | 20% | |||
| 19 March 2026 MEDIUM smart_toy0.964 factory0.758 | 50 Day Low | $ 107.79 | |||||
| 19 December 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.722 factory0.439 | 50 Day Low | $ 44.38 | |||||
| 05 August 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.166 factory0.412 | 50 Day Low | $ 41.40 | |||||
| 05 February 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.563 factory0.339 | 50 Day Low | $ 33.30 | |||||
| 26 September 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.614 factory0.541 | 50 Day Low | $ 33.04 | |||||
| 15 August 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.301 factory0.303 | 50 Day Low | $ 34.46 | |||||
| 20 June 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.93 factory0.238 | 50 Day Low | $ 36.14 | |||||
| 17 February 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.302 factory0.347 | 50 Day Low | $ 34.37 | |||||
| 31 August 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.394 factory0.876 | 50 Day Low | $ 29.56 | |||||
| 23 June 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.961 factory0.886 FIRE SALE | 50 Day Low | $ 35.06 | |||||
| 02 May 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.782 factory0.645 | 50 Day Low | $ 42.00 | |||||
| 06 January 2022 LOW smart_toy0.858 factory0.213 | 50 Day Low | $ 39.08 | |||||
| 23 September 2021 LOW smart_toy0.565 factory0.303 | 50 Day Low | $ 39.50 | |||||
| 09 August 2021 LOW smart_toy0.872 factory0.203 | 50 Day Low | $ 42.48 | |||||
| 28 June 2021 LOW smart_toy0.797 factory0.238 | 50 Day Low | $ 46.82 | |||||
| 30 March 2021 LOW smart_toy0.428 factory0.223 | 50 Day Low | $ 43.83 | |||||
The data for VanEck Junior Gold Miners (exchange: ARCX symbol: GDXJ) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 29 May 2026.