VanEck Gold Miners (GDX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to GDX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 5.58%.   Win rate: 84.38%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.635.   Maximum drawdown: -46.12% on 26 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 108.5%. Time in market: 5996 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1108.28 on 13 September 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Gold Miners

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 32 signal(s) occurring before 26 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (84.38% * 8.40%) + (6.25% * 0.83%) - (9.38% * 16.69%) = 5.58%.
Wins: 27 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
01 June 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 86.56 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 April 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 89.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
27 March 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 84.29 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
23 February 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 109.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
20 January 2026  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 102.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
16 December 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 85.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 November 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 74.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 October 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 78.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 September 2025  bubble_chart   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 67.25 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
08 August 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 58.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 July 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 52.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 June 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 52.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 April 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 48.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 March 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 45.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 February 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 41.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 January 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 35.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 January 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 35.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 December 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 37.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 December 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 37.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 November 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 40.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 October 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 41.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
01 October 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 40.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 September 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 40.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
30 August 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 38.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 August 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 39.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 July 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 36.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 July 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 37.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 June 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 33.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 June 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 34.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 May 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 35.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 May 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 37.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 April 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 32.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 April 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 33.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 March 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 29.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 January 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 29.47 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 December 2023   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 29.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 December 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 30.47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 September 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 29.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
29 August 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 29.21 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
31 July 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 31.19 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 July 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 30.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 29.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
26 June 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 29.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
26 May 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 30.55 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 May 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 31.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 April 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 33.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 April 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 34.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 March 2023   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 27.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 February 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 27.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 February 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 32.37 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 January 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 31.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 May 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 32.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 May 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 32.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 April 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 37.00 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 April 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 41.08 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 March 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 36.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
15 March 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 36.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
22 November 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 33.01 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 July 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 34.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 June 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 39.56 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 April 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 35.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for VanEck Gold Miners (exchange: ARCX symbol: GDX) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 02 Jun 2026.