iShares China Large Cap (FXI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.
Calculations for China Large Cap
Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.
Expectancy calculation for 18 signal(s) occurring before 18 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (94.44% * 10.79%) + (0% * 0%) - (5.56% * 30.57%) = 8.49%.
Wins: 17 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1
To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.
The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.
Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)
This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.
Key:
= profit point not achieved.
= profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
= profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%.
= profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.
| Signal Date, Score and Sector Score | Buy Signal | Price | Performance (mouseover for details) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6% | 7.5% | 10% | 20% | |||
| 25 June 2026 smart_toyLOW (46) | Super Oversold (26) | $ 31.76 | |||||
| 16 June 2026 smart_toyLOW (39) | Super Oversold (26) | $ 34.52 | |||||
| 08 April 2025 smart_toyHIGH (98) | Super Oversold (OR) | $ 30.48 | |||||
| 22 January 2024 smart_toyLOW (60) | Super Oversold (26) | $ 21.04 | |||||
| 20 December 2023 smart_toyLOW (44) | Super Oversold (26) | $ 23.08 | |||||
| 08 December 2023 smart_toyLOW (38) | Super Oversold (26) | $ 23.75 | |||||
| 01 November 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (80) | Super Oversold (OR) | $ 22.00 | |||||
| 31 October 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (89) sirenFIRE SALE | Super Oversold (52) | $ 20.94 | |||||
| 25 October 2022 smart_toyHIGH (99) | Super Oversold (OR) | $ 21.98 | |||||
| 24 October 2022 smart_toyHIGH (99) sirenFIRE SALE | Super Oversold (26) | $ 21.64 | |||||
| 30 September 2022 smart_toyHIGH (97) sirenFIRE SALE | Super Oversold (26) | $ 25.80 | |||||
| 25 April 2022 smart_toyLOW (72) | Super Oversold (MD) | $ 28.90 | |||||
| 15 March 2022 smart_toyHIGH (96) | Super Oversold (DB) | $ 26.76 | |||||
| 15 March 2022 smart_toyHIGH (96) sirenFIRE SALE | Super Oversold (52) | $ 26.76 | |||||
| 14 March 2022 smart_toyHIGH (97) | Super Oversold (OR) | $ 27.44 | |||||
| 14 March 2022 smart_toyHIGH (97) sirenFIRE SALE | Super Oversold (52) | $ 27.44 | |||||
| 08 March 2022 smart_toyHIGH (91) sirenFIRE SALE | Super Oversold (26) | $ 31.43 | |||||
| 24 February 2022 smart_toyLOW (41) sirenFIRE SALE | Super Oversold (26) | $ 34.48 | |||||
| 05 January 2022 smart_toyLOW (57) | Super Oversold (26) | $ 35.34 | |||||
| 20 December 2021 smart_toyLOW (52) | Super Oversold (26) | $ 35.66 | |||||
| 27 July 2021 smart_toyLOW (42) | Super Oversold (26) | $ 38.94 | |||||
The data for iShares China Large Cap (exchange: ARCX symbol: FXI) was last updated 26 Jun 2026 05:21. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 25 Jun 2026.