iShares MSCI South Africa (EZA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results globe

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Double Seven Rate of Change Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite
Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to EZA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 5.31%. Win rate: 76.19%. Sharpe Ratio: -2.47. Maximum drawdown: -25.10% on 05 October 2023.
Mean CAGR: 91.53%. Time in market: 4088 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1293.35 on 20 June 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for South Africa

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 21 signal(s) occurring before 19 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (76.19% * 8.61%) + (14.29% * 0.66%) - (9.52% * 14.09%) = 5.31%.
Wins: 16 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
15 June 2026 smart_toyLOW (16)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 68.10	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
12 May 2026 smart_toyLOW (26)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 70.38	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
10 April 2026 smart_toyLOW (42)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 72.30	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
10 March 2026 smart_toyLOW (46)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 73.28	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
04 February 2026 smart_toyLOW (47)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 74.71	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule	schedule
06 November 2025 smart_toyLOW (41)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 63.93	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2025 smart_toyLOW (23)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 49.96	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
09 April 2025 smart_toyMEDIUM (84) sirenFIRE SALE	Mega Dump Lite	$ 42.84	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 February 2025 smart_toyLOW (35)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 44.44	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
03 January 2025 smart_toyLOW (35)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 42.78	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
18 November 2024 smart_toyLOW (31)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 47.41	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
12 June 2024 smart_toyLOW (31)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 40.85	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
23 January 2024 smart_toyLOW (42)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 38.20	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
06 October 2023 smart_toyLOW (35) sirenFIRE SALE	Mega Dump Lite	$ 36.55	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
25 August 2023 smart_toyLOW (15)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 40.18	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
24 July 2023 smart_toyLOW (32)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 43.12	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
20 June 2023 smart_toyLOW (28)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 41.30	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
16 May 2023 smart_toyLOW (56) sirenFIRE SALE	Mega Dump Lite	$ 39.08	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
03 April 2023 smart_toyLOW (51)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 42.58	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
01 March 2023 smart_toyLOW (60)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 42.27	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
20 December 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (83)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 42.15	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
14 October 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (85) sirenFIRE SALE	Mega Dump Lite	$ 36.50	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 September 2022 smart_toyLOW (78)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 41.86	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
09 August 2022 smart_toyLOW (77)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 43.48	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
06 July 2022 smart_toyMEDIUM (85) sirenFIRE SALE	Mega Dump Lite	$ 41.41	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
01 June 2022 smart_toyLOW (68)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 48.06	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
28 April 2022 smart_toyLOW (66)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 47.82	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
01 December 2021 smart_toyLOW (37)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 45.60	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
01 October 2021 smart_toyLOW (23)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 47.13	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
30 August 2021 smart_toyLOW (27)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 48.00	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	disabled_by_default
27 July 2021 smart_toyLOW (30)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 46.34	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
24 June 2021 smart_toyLOW (26)	Mega Dump Lite	$ 49.18	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	disabled_by_default

The data for iShares MSCI South Africa (exchange: ARCX symbol: EZA) was last updated 01 Jul 2026 05:06. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 26 Jun 2026.