iShares MSCI South Africa (EZA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results globe

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to EZA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 5.17%.   Win rate: 75.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.434.   Maximum drawdown: -25.10% on 05 October 2023.
Mean CAGR: 81.11%. Time in market: 4080 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1196.55 on 09 April 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for South Africa

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 20 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (75.00% * 8.64%) + (15.00% * 0.66%) - (10.0% * 14.09%) = 5.17%.
Wins: 15 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.42   Mega Dump Lite $ 70.38 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.15   Mega Dump Lite $ 72.30 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.648   Mega Dump Lite $ 73.28 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.823   Mega Dump Lite $ 74.71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
06 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.605   Mega Dump Lite $ 63.93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 May 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.775   Mega Dump Lite $ 49.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.925   Mega Dump Lite $ 42.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.832   Mega Dump Lite $ 44.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 January 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.776   Mega Dump Lite $ 42.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.747   Mega Dump Lite $ 47.41 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
12 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.457   Mega Dump Lite $ 40.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 January 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.678   Mega Dump Lite $ 38.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.909   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 36.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.28   Mega Dump Lite $ 40.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 July 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.533   Mega Dump Lite $ 43.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 June 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.795   Mega Dump Lite $ 41.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
16 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.858   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 39.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
03 April 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.602   Mega Dump Lite $ 42.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.421   Mega Dump Lite $ 42.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 December 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.84   Mega Dump Lite $ 42.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 October 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.938   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 36.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.547   Mega Dump Lite $ 41.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 August 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.582   Mega Dump Lite $ 43.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 July 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.929   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 41.41 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
01 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.876   Mega Dump Lite $ 48.06 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.654   Mega Dump Lite $ 47.82 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 December 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.214   Mega Dump Lite $ 45.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 October 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.793   Mega Dump Lite $ 47.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
30 August 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.901   Mega Dump Lite $ 48.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
27 July 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.824   Mega Dump Lite $ 46.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 June 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.514   Mega Dump Lite $ 49.18 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default

 

The data for iShares MSCI South Africa (exchange: ARCX symbol: EZA) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 15 May 2026.