iShares MSCI South Africa (EZA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.
Calculations for South Africa
Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.
Expectancy calculation for 20 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (75.00% * 8.64%) + (15.00% * 0.66%) - (10.0% * 14.09%) = 5.17%.
Wins: 15 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 2
To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.
The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.
MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)
This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.
Key:
= profit point not achieved.
= profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
= profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%.
= profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.
| Signal Date and Score | Buy Signal | Price | Performance (mouseover for details) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6% | 7.5% | 10% | 20% | |||
| 12 May 2026 LOW smart_toy0.42 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 70.38 | |||||
| 10 April 2026 LOW smart_toy0.15 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 72.30 | |||||
| 10 March 2026 MEDIUM smart_toy0.648 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 73.28 | |||||
| 04 February 2026 MEDIUM smart_toy0.823 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 74.71 | |||||
| 06 November 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.605 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 63.93 | |||||
| 13 May 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.775 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 49.96 | |||||
| 09 April 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.925 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 42.84 | |||||
| 04 February 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.832 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 44.44 | |||||
| 03 January 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.776 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 42.78 | |||||
| 18 November 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.747 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 47.41 | |||||
| 12 June 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.457 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 40.85 | |||||
| 23 January 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.678 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 38.20 | |||||
| 06 October 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.909 FIRE SALE | Mega Dump Lite | $ 36.55 | |||||
| 25 August 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.28 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 40.18 | |||||
| 24 July 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.533 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 43.12 | |||||
| 20 June 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.795 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 41.30 | |||||
| 16 May 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.858 FIRE SALE | Mega Dump Lite | $ 39.08 | |||||
| 03 April 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.602 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 42.58 | |||||
| 01 March 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.421 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 42.27 | |||||
| 20 December 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.84 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 42.15 | |||||
| 14 October 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.938 FIRE SALE | Mega Dump Lite | $ 36.50 | |||||
| 12 September 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.547 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 41.86 | |||||
| 09 August 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.582 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 43.48 | |||||
| 06 July 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.929 FIRE SALE | Mega Dump Lite | $ 41.41 | |||||
| 01 June 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.876 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 48.06 | |||||
| 28 April 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.654 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 47.82 | |||||
| 01 December 2021 LOW smart_toy0.214 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 45.60 | |||||
| 01 October 2021 LOW smart_toy0.793 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 47.13 | |||||
| 30 August 2021 LOW smart_toy0.901 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 48.00 | |||||
| 27 July 2021 LOW smart_toy0.824 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 46.34 | |||||
| 24 June 2021 LOW smart_toy0.514 | Mega Dump Lite | $ 49.18 | |||||
The data for iShares MSCI South Africa (exchange: ARCX symbol: EZA) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 15 May 2026.
