iShares MSCI Germany (EWG) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results globe

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Double Seven Rate of Change Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite
Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to EWG's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: Off Classic Original AI Model ML4 AI Model Threshold: All Low High Very High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 0.85%. Win rate: 58.33%. Sharpe Ratio: -1.95. Maximum drawdown: -41.37% on 29 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 89.19%. Time in market: 3842 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1135.21 on 14 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Germany

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 12 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (58.33% * 8.78%) + (8.33% * 0.30%) - (33.33% * 12.90%) = 0.85%.
Wins: 7 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
03 March 2026 MEDIUM smart_toy0.925 factory0.303	50 Day Low	$ 41.20	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule
04 November 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.693 factory0.409	50 Day Low	$ 40.32	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
25 September 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.256 factory0.185	50 Day Low	$ 40.72	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule
07 April 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.938 factory0.76 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 33.45	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 November 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.694 factory0.508	50 Day Low	$ 31.29	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.552 factory0.747	50 Day Low	$ 29.43	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
14 June 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.454 factory0.18	50 Day Low	$ 30.00	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
23 October 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.882 factory0.678 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 25.16	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
19 September 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.438 factory0.317	50 Day Low	$ 27.06	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
18 August 2023 MEDIUM smart_toy0.488 factory0.35	50 Day Low	$ 27.33	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
20 September 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.944 factory0.851 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 21.34	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 July 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.989 factory0.93 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 21.88	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
10 June 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.983 factory0.732	50 Day Low	$ 24.94	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
09 May 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.951 factory0.681 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 24.98	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
01 March 2022 HIGH smart_toy0.946 factory0.525 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 28.38	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
24 January 2022 LOW smart_toy0.912 factory0.49	50 Day Low	$ 31.47	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
26 November 2021 LOW smart_toy0.528 factory0.417	50 Day Low	$ 32.15	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
20 September 2021 LOW smart_toy0.943 factory0.288	50 Day Low	$ 33.10	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
19 July 2021 LOW smart_toy0.945 factory0.239	50 Day Low	$ 33.58	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default

The data for iShares MSCI Germany (exchange: ARCX symbol: EWG) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 29 May 2026.