iShares MSCI Philippines (EPHE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results globe

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to EPHE's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 3.90%.   Win rate: 68.75%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.633.   Maximum drawdown: -29.21% on 30 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 52.64%. Time in market: 4443 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1236.33 on 09 September 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Philippines

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 16 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (68.75% * 8.17%) + (12.50% * 3.58%) - (18.75% * 11.54%) = 3.90%.
Wins: 11 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
28 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.353  factory0.186   50 Day Low $ 24.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.565  factory0.237   50 Day Low $ 24.68 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.483  factory0.317   50 Day Low $ 24.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
25 September 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.129  factory0.166   50 Day Low $ 25.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
31 July 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.275  factory0.204   50 Day Low $ 25.47 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
27 January 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.828  factory0.26   50 Day Low $ 24.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.521  factory0.25   50 Day Low $ 24.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.321  factory0.268   50 Day Low $ 26.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 May 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.399  factory0.154   50 Day Low $ 24.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 April 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.444  factory0.208   50 Day Low $ 26.09 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.817  factory0.528   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 23.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
15 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.4  factory0.209   50 Day Low $ 24.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
14 August 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.378  factory0.228   50 Day Low $ 24.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.77  factory0.189   50 Day Low $ 25.45 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 April 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.376  factory0.19   50 Day Low $ 25.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.458  factory0.474   50 Day Low $ 26.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.608  factory0.739   50 Day Low $ 24.57 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 July 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.879  factory0.876   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 24.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.864  factory0.546   50 Day Low $ 27.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.61  factory0.51   50 Day Low $ 28.92 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 March 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.922  factory0.424   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 30.66 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 January 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.593  factory0.236   50 Day Low $ 31.24 select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 July 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.611  factory0.136   50 Day Low $ 28.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 May 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.237  factory0.118   50 Day Low $ 28.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
19 March 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.625  factory0.174   50 Day Low $ 29.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for iShares MSCI Philippines (exchange: ARCX symbol: EPHE) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 29 May 2026.