iShares MSCI Ireland (EIRL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results globe

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to EIRL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 4.08%.   Win rate: 63.16%.   Sharpe Ratio: -4.787.   Maximum drawdown: -40.88% on 29 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 46.5%. Time in market: 5723 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1163.81 on 06 March 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Ireland

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 19 signal(s) occurring before 25 December 2023 for a 7.5% profit target: (63.16% * 8.04%) + (21.05% * 0.34%) - (15.79% * 6.75%) = 4.08%.
Wins: 12 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
01 December 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 72.87 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
27 October 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 68.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
23 September 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 66.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
22 August 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 69.11 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
21 July 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 66.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
17 June 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 65.37 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
19 November 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 58.72 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 November 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 61.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 October 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 68.42 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 October 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 66.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 September 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 68.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 September 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 67.22 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 August 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 67.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 August 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 65.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 July 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 69.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 July 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 64.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
10 June 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 67.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 May 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 68.69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 May 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 69.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 April 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 67.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 April 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 68.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 March 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 68.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 February 2024   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 62.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
03 January 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 59.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
13 October 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 53.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 September 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 56.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 August 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 59.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 July 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 56.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
02 June 2023   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 55.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
01 May 2023   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 55.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
28 March 2023   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 53.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 February 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 52.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
18 January 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 50.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
16 December 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 45.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 December 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 54.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 November 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 58.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 October 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 58.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 September 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 61.96 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 August 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 58.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 June 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 57.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
28 May 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 60.23 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
26 April 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 57.99 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 March 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 54.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for iShares MSCI Ireland (exchange: ARCX symbol: EIRL) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 31 Dec 2025.