VanEck Oil Refiners (CRAK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to CRAK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.51%.   Win rate: 93.33%.   Sharpe Ratio: -12.533.   Maximum drawdown: -36.02% on 07 April 2025.
Mean CAGR: 82.68%. Time in market: 5528 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2344.27 on 24 October 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Oil Refiners

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 45 signal(s) occurring before 26 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (93.33% * 7.98%) + (6.67% * 0.93%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.51%.
Wins: 42 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 May 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 50.10 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 May 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 51.70 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 April 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 48.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
02 April 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 48.71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
18 February 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 44.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
16 January 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 40.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 December 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 39.75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 November 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 40.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 October 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 36.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 August 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 34.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 July 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 34.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 July 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 33.49 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 June 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 35.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 May 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 36.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 April 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 38.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 March 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 35.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
30 January 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 34.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 December 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 34.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 November 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 34.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 October 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 33.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 October 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 33.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 September 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 35.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 September 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 35.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 August 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 33.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
16 August 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 32.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
12 May 2023   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 29.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 May 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 29.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 April 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 31.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
06 April 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 31.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
07 March 2023   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 32.33 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 March 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 32.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 February 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 32.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 January 2023   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 32.85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 December 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 31.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
22 November 2022   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 32.99 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 October 2022   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 29.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
01 September 2022   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 29.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
15 July 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 27.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 July 2022   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 28.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
13 June 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 33.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 May 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 33.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
10 May 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 30.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
26 April 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 29.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 30.11 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
25 February 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 27.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 February 2022   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 28.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 January 2022   LOW     Double Seven $ 27.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 January 2022   LOW     Double Seven $ 28.75 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 November 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 26.45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 October 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 30.49 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 July 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 26.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
16 July 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 27.71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
18 June 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 29.41 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 June 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 31.03 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 April 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 27.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
01 April 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 27.51 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
17 March 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 28.41 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
01 March 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 28.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for VanEck Oil Refiners (exchange: ARCX symbol: CRAK) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 02 Jun 2026.