VanEck BDC Income (Business Development Company) (BIZD) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to BIZD's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 4.26%.   Win rate: 66.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.394.   Maximum drawdown: -21.84% on 03 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 24.88%. Time in market: 2042 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1112.29 on 14 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for US BDC

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 6 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (66.67% * 7.72%) + (0% * 0%) - (33.33% * 2.66%) = 4.26%.
Wins: 4 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 2

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.439  factory0.171   50 Day Low $ 12.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
03 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.347  factory0.255   50 Day Low $ 13.59 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 September 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.244  factory0.155   50 Day Low $ 15.72 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 August 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.233  factory0.153   50 Day Low $ 15.91 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.741  factory0.747   50 Day Low $ 16.34 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.28  factory0.218   50 Day Low $ 15.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
24 July 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.207  factory0.224   50 Day Low $ 16.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.392  factory0.471   50 Day Low $ 15.15 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
13 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.304  factory0.674   50 Day Low $ 13.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.834  factory0.78   FIRE SALE 50 Day Low $ 14.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.767  factory0.77   50 Day Low $ 15.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
27 April 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.513  factory0.616   50 Day Low $ 16.98 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 December 2021   LOW   smart_toy0.24  factory0.222   50 Day Low $ 17.08 select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for VanEck BDC Income (Business Development Company) (exchange: ARCX symbol: BIZD) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 29 May 2026.