VanEck Africa Index (AFK) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results south_america

Signal:                  
                  [ What are these? | Switch to AFK's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Threshold:           [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -15.14%.   Win rate: 41.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.343.   Maximum drawdown: -39.41% on 27 October 2023.
Mean CAGR: 22.34%. Time in market: 5708 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1263.32 on 27 September 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Africa

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 12 signal(s) occurring before 26 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (41.67% * 8.12%) + (0% * 0%) - (58.33% * 31.75%) = -15.14%.
Wins: 5 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 7

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 May 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 28.50 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 May 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 28.72 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 April 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 27.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 April 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 26.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
09 March 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 26.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
06 March 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 26.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
03 February 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 28.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
02 February 2026   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 28.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
16 December 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 25.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
25 November 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 24.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 November 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 24.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 October 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 24.13 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 October 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 24.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 September 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 23.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 August 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 22.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 August 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 21.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 July 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 21.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 July 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 20.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 June 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 19.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 June 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 19.67 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 May 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 18.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 April 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 17.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 March 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 17.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 March 2025   cards_starMEDIUM     Double Seven $ 17.65 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 February 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 16.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 February 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 16.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 January 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 16.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 January 2025   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 15.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 December 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 16.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 December 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 16.19 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 November 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 16.73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
29 October 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 16.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
30 September 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 16.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 September 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 17.25 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 August 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 16.66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 August 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 16.66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 July 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 15.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
23 July 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 16.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
24 June 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 15.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 June 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 15.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
21 May 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 16.19 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 May 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 16.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 April 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 14.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
16 April 2024   cards_starLOW     Double Seven $ 14.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 October 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 21.57 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 July 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 21.92 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
07 July 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 21.94 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
08 June 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 22.78 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 June 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 22.88 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 May 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 21.88 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
03 May 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 21.78 select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
26 February 2021   LOW     Double Seven $ 21.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for VanEck Africa Index (exchange: ARCX symbol: AFK) was last updated 14 Jun 2026 16:17. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 02 Jun 2026.