Bitcoin (USD) (BTC) Monthly Backtest Results

The data points on this monthly chart show the results of using the 10 Month SMA Double Cross strategy on this stock. Read about this strategy here. This is a long term investment strategy designed to catch major bull runs in stocks and indices then exit before the worst of a serious drawdown. It tends to work better with securites that are prone to forming valuation bubbles. To view shorter term swing trading entry signals for this stock then go here.

Key: change_history : trade entry change_history : profitable trade exit change_history : breakeven trade exit (5% loss to 5% profit) change_history : losing trade (greater than 5% loss) show_chart : 10 month simple moving average (SMA)
Hover your mouse over the labels to view more details of each trade.
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Backtest Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each monthly entry signal. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) shows the profitability of the trade on an annualised basis.

Entry Date	Exit Date	Profit or Loss	CAGR
01 April 2023	01 December 2025	212.15%	53.13%
01 July 2020	01 January 2022	409.36%	195.16%
01 March 2020	01 April 2020	-25.47%	-96.86%
01 June 2019	01 January 2020	-15.89%	-25.56%
01 December 2015	01 June 2018	1929.40%	233.17%
01 July 2014	01 August 2014	-7.04%	-57.68%
01 August 2012	01 May 2014	4692.38%	815.05%
01 November 2010	01 October 2011	2521.13%	3449.32%
Total Return		9716.02%

The monthly data for Bitcoin (USD) (exchange: CRYPTO symbol: BTC) was last updated 01 Feb 2026 06:57. Data for this stock is available from 17 Jul 2010 - 31 Jan 2026.