Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.
Calculations for Vail Resorts
Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.
Expectancy calculation for 13 signal(s) occurring before 26 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (76.92% * 8.72%) + (0% * 0%) - (23.08% * 18.14%) = 2.52%.
Wins: 10 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 3
To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.
The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.
Vail Resorts Analysis
Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.
External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.
These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.
Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)
This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.
Key:
= profit point not achieved.
= profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
= profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%.
= profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.
| Signal Date and Score | Buy Signal | Price | Performance (mouseover for details) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5% | 6% | 7.5% | 10% | 20% | |||
| 27 April 2026 LOW smart_toy0.52 factory0.386 | Super Oversold (26) | $ 119.86 | |||||
| 24 April 2026 LOW smart_toy0.642 factory0.354 | Super Oversold (26) | $ 120.76 | |||||
| 02 February 2026 LOW smart_toy0.855 factory0.479 | Super Oversold (26) | $ 131.78 | |||||
| 29 January 2026 LOW smart_toy0.856 factory0.486 | Super Oversold (52) | $ 132.40 | |||||
| 22 April 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.989 factory0.818 FIRE SALE | Super Oversold (52) | $ 135.40 | |||||
| 21 April 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.986 factory0.825 FIRE SALE | Super Oversold (52) | $ 134.92 | |||||
| 08 April 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.988 factory0.866 FIRE SALE | Super Oversold (26) | $ 136.03 | |||||
| 08 April 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.991 factory0.866 FIRE SALE | Super Oversold (52) | $ 136.03 | |||||
| 04 April 2025 LOW smart_toy0.958 factory0.637 FIRE SALE | Super Oversold (26) | $ 148.12 | |||||
| 04 April 2025 LOW smart_toy0.977 factory0.637 FIRE SALE | Super Oversold (52) | $ 148.12 | |||||
| 18 February 2025 LOW smart_toy0.838 factory0.474 | Super Oversold (52) | $ 162.18 | |||||
| 05 August 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.851 factory0.721 | Super Oversold (26) | $ 170.26 | |||||
| 07 June 2024 MEDIUM smart_toy0.704 factory0.47 | Super Oversold (RoC) | $ 174.72 | |||||
| 01 May 2024 LOW smart_toy0.498 factory0.305 | Super Oversold (26) | $ 190.51 | |||||
| 26 September 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.992 factory0.795 FIRE SALE | Super Oversold (26) | $ 204.85 | |||||
| 11 July 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.989 factory0.869 FIRE SALE | Super Oversold (52) | $ 211.62 | |||||
| 07 March 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.978 factory0.625 FIRE SALE | Super Oversold (26) | $ 234.24 | |||||
| 24 February 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.861 factory0.635 FIRE SALE | Super Oversold (26) | $ 255.80 | |||||
| 24 February 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.936 factory0.635 FIRE SALE | Super Oversold (RoC) | $ 255.80 | |||||
| 23 March 2020 HIGH smart_toy0.94 factory0.917 FIRE SALE | Super Oversold (RoC) | $ 142.74 | |||||
| 23 March 2020 HIGH smart_toy0.961 factory0.917 | Super Oversold (MD) | $ 142.74 | |||||
| 12 March 2020 HIGH smart_toy0.978 factory0.925 FIRE SALE | Super Oversold (52) | $ 144.86 | |||||
| 05 March 2020 MEDIUM smart_toy0.792 factory0.772 FIRE SALE | Super Oversold (26) | $ 195.31 | |||||
| 11 January 2019 HIGH smart_toy0.991 factory0.945 FIRE SALE | Super Oversold (RoC) | $ 178.50 | |||||
| 21 December 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.943 factory0.964 FIRE SALE | Super Oversold (26) | $ 200.02 | |||||
| 21 December 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.984 factory0.964 | Super Oversold (MD) | $ 200.02 | |||||
The data for Vail Resorts Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: MTN) was last updated 04 Jun 2026 06:03. Data for this stock is available from 02 May 2016 - 02 Jun 2026.