McDonalds Corp (MCD) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech 🍔

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to MCD's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 7.77%.   Win rate: 94.44%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.721.   Maximum drawdown: -32.81% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 111.59%. Time in market: 2015 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2390.97 on 12 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for McDonalds

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 18 signal(s) occurring before 30 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (94.44% * 8.20%) + (5.56% * 0.43%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.77%.
Wins: 17 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

McDonalds Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 May 2026   LOW     smart_toy0.963 Mega Dump Lite $ 285.76 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
25 March 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.817 Mega Dump Lite $ 310.88 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.834 Mega Dump Lite $ 291.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box schedule
04 November 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.856 Mega Dump Lite $ 293.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
31 May 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.889 Mega Dump Lite $ 256.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 November 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.884 Mega Dump Lite $ 267.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
11 October 2023   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.902 Mega Dump Lite $ 248.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
07 November 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.761 Mega Dump Lite $ 275.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 October 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.98 Mega Dump Lite $ 237.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 May 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.983 Mega Dump Lite $ 236.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 April 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.826 Mega Dump Lite $ 249.95 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 March 2022   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.976 Mega Dump Lite $ 225.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 June 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.851 Mega Dump Lite $ 183.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 May 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.928 Mega Dump Lite $ 178.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 April 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.948 Mega Dump Lite $ 171.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 March 2020   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.853 Mega Dump Lite $ 203.11 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 December 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.696 Mega Dump Lite $ 191.19 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
31 October 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.79 Mega Dump Lite $ 193.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 December 2018   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.882 Mega Dump Lite $ 168.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 March 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.821 Mega Dump Lite $ 151.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 February 2018   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.954 Mega Dump Lite $ 152.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 September 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.902 Mega Dump Lite $ 106.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
04 August 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.923 Mega Dump Lite $ 106.55 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for McDonalds Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: MCD) was last updated 08 May 2026 01:35. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 07 May 2026.