Kohls Corp (KSS) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to KSS's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 4.41%.   Win rate: 83.33%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.005.   Maximum drawdown: -80.04% on 03 April 2020.
Mean CAGR: 152.95%. Time in market: 3679 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1471.35 on 14 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Kohls

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 24 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (83.33% * 9.35%) + (8.33% * 5.82%) - (8.33% * 46.34%) = 4.41%.
Wins: 20 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Kohls Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 May 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.936   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 12.47 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
06 March 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.812   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 15.27 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 March 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.753   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 8.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 February 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.58   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 11.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 January 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.981   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 13.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 December 2024   HIGH   smart_toy0.739   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 14.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
01 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.642   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 18.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 September 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.659   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 19.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 July 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.936   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 20.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 May 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.818   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 20.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 April 2024   LOW   smart_toy0.725   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 23.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
21 September 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.814   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 20.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 May 2023   HIGH   smart_toy0.891   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 18.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 April 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.587   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 22.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.777   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 23.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 December 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.967   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 25.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
22 September 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.944   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 27.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 June 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.988   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 36.24 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
09 May 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.921   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 52.62 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 September 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.927   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 47.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 June 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.947   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 52.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
29 September 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.857   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 19.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 April 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.883   FIRE SALE Williams %R (Weekly) $ 11.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.813   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 37.11 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 January 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.856   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 42.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 August 2019  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.848   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 43.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 June 2019  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.897   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 44.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 May 2019  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.729   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 58.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 December 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.976   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 54.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 November 2018  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.933   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 57.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
12 May 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.66   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 31.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 March 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.586   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 33.55 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 February 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.863   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 32.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 January 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.951   Williams %R (Weekly) $ 35.79 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Kohls Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: KSS) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 15 May 2026.