Ingredion Inc (INGR) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Double Seven Rate of Change Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite
Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to INGR's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: Off Classic Original AI Model ML4 AI Model Threshold: All Low High Very High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 2.15%. Win rate: 74.07%. Sharpe Ratio: -2.237. Maximum drawdown: -47.69% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 79.98%. Time in market: 5831 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1817.55 on 12 January 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Ingredion

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 27 signal(s) occurring before 29 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (74.07% * 8.21%) + (11.11% * 3.33%) - (14.81% * 29.02%) = 2.15%.
Wins: 20 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 4

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Ingredion Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
05 June 2026 LOW smart_toy0.855 factory0.961	50 Day Low	$ 100.12	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
04 May 2026 LOW smart_toy0.644 factory0.515	50 Day Low	$ 108.14	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
19 March 2026 LOW smart_toy0.527 factory0.478	50 Day Low	$ 110.87	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
22 October 2025 LOW smart_toy0.545 factory0.675	50 Day Low	$ 119.86	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
15 September 2025 LOW smart_toy0.712 factory0.59	50 Day Low	$ 124.89	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
17 July 2025 LOW smart_toy0.765 factory0.4	50 Day Low	$ 132.77	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
08 April 2025 MEDIUM smart_toy0.84 factory0.888 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 125.26	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
18 February 2025 LOW smart_toy0.543 factory0.599	50 Day Low	$ 125.68	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
08 January 2025 LOW smart_toy0.827 factory0.714	50 Day Low	$ 132.80	select_check_box	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
02 July 2024 LOW smart_toy0.813 factory0.601	50 Day Low	$ 112.73	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 October 2023 LOW smart_toy0.82 factory0.868	50 Day Low	$ 96.18	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
08 August 2023 LOW smart_toy0.733 factory0.628	50 Day Low	$ 101.64	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
26 June 2023 LOW smart_toy0.965 factory0.745	50 Day Low	$ 102.35	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
10 March 2023 LOW smart_toy0.855 factory0.849	50 Day Low	$ 96.51	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
06 September 2022 LOW smart_toy0.864 factory0.935 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 85.01	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
17 June 2022 LOW smart_toy0.98 factory0.934 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 84.88	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
14 March 2022 MEDIUM smart_toy0.947 factory0.694 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 83.36	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
03 February 2022 LOW smart_toy0.617 factory0.561	50 Day Low	$ 89.61	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
04 August 2021 LOW smart_toy0.861 factory0.548	50 Day Low	$ 86.13	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
29 June 2021 LOW smart_toy0.869 factory0.552	50 Day Low	$ 90.00	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
01 February 2021 LOW smart_toy0.663 factory0.597	50 Day Low	$ 75.06	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 October 2020 LOW smart_toy0.609 factory0.698	50 Day Low	$ 73.51	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
23 September 2020 LOW smart_toy0.721 factory0.755	50 Day Low	$ 76.82	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2020 LOW smart_toy0.611 factory0.626	50 Day Low	$ 77.52	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
27 February 2020 LOW smart_toy0.673 factory0.699	50 Day Low	$ 85.34	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
12 August 2019 LOW smart_toy0.766 factory0.79	50 Day Low	$ 73.48	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
02 May 2019 LOW smart_toy0.517 factory0.541	50 Day Low	$ 84.79	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
20 December 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.953 factory0.919 FIRE SALE	50 Day Low	$ 85.78	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
23 October 2018 MEDIUM smart_toy0.541 factory0.896	50 Day Low	$ 87.05	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
25 June 2018 LOW smart_toy0.844 factory0.749	50 Day Low	$ 102.64	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
01 May 2018 LOW smart_toy0.591 factory0.574	50 Day Low	$ 113.27	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
28 March 2018 LOW smart_toy0.414 factory0.645	50 Day Low	$ 119.04	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
05 February 2018 LOW smart_toy0.903 factory0.589	50 Day Low	$ 123.97	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
10 May 2017 LOW smart_toy0.354 factory0.524	50 Day Low	$ 109.64	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
02 February 2017 LOW smart_toy0.98 factory0.608	50 Day Low	$ 105.34	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt
09 November 2016 LOW smart_toy0.799 factory0.739	50 Day Low	$ 116.94	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
16 September 2016 LOW smart_toy0.776 factory0.649	50 Day Low	$ 118.46	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box

The data for Ingredion Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: INGR) was last updated 06 Jun 2026 18:11. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 05 Jun 2026.