W.W. Grainger (GWW) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to GWW's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.85%.   Win rate: 95.95%.   Sharpe Ratio: -14.989.   Maximum drawdown: -40.92% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 106.07%. Time in market: 8355 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $7812.28 on 11 October 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for W.W. Grainger

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 74 signal(s) occurring before 03 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (95.95% * 9.06%) + (2.70% * 5.99%) - (1.35% * 0.72%) = 8.85%.
Wins: 71 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

W.W. Grainger Analysis

Market sector: Transportation.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.926  factory0.457   Double Seven $ 1233.96 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.909  factory0.433   Double Seven $ 1158.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
09 March 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.887  factory0.59   Double Seven $ 1106.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
03 February 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.886  factory0.515   Double Seven $ 1121.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
31 December 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.937  factory0.946   Double Seven $ 1015.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 June 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.859  factory0.949   Double Seven $ 1033.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 May 2025   MEDIUM    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 1086.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
25 February 2025   MEDIUM    factory0.953   Double Seven $ 999.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
22 January 2025   MEDIUM    factory0.946   Double Seven $ 1122.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 December 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.946   Double Seven $ 1085.29 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 November 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 1176.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 October 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.947   Double Seven $ 1095.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
13 September 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.945   Double Seven $ 995.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 August 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.944   Double Seven $ 967.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 July 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 911.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 June 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 887.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 May 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.944   Double Seven $ 939.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 April 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.946   Double Seven $ 1005.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
01 March 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.953   Double Seven $ 977.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
29 January 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.951   Double Seven $ 888.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 December 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.946   Double Seven $ 829.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 November 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 808.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 October 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.947   Double Seven $ 696.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 September 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.945   Double Seven $ 692.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 August 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.944   Double Seven $ 711.39 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 July 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 758.89 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
02 June 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 664.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 May 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.944   Double Seven $ 690.25 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 March 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.946   Double Seven $ 673.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 February 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.951   Double Seven $ 657.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 January 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.947   Double Seven $ 571.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 December 2022   MEDIUM    factory0.946   Double Seven $ 557.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 November 2022   MEDIUM    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 582.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 September 2022   MEDIUM    factory0.943   Double Seven $ 491.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 August 2022   MEDIUM    factory0.944   Double Seven $ 573.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 July 2022   MEDIUM    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 460.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022   MEDIUM    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 480.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 May 2022   MEDIUM    factory0.944   Double Seven $ 474.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 April 2022   MEDIUM    factory0.946   Double Seven $ 519.78 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 March 2022   MEDIUM    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 491.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 February 2022   MEDIUM    factory0.951   Double Seven $ 497.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 January 2022   MEDIUM    factory0.947   Double Seven $ 513.86 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 November 2021   MEDIUM    factory0.944   Double Seven $ 487.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 October 2021   MEDIUM    factory0.947   Double Seven $ 427.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 September 2021   MEDIUM    factory0.945   Double Seven $ 402.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 August 2021   MEDIUM    factory0.944   Double Seven $ 431.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 July 2021   MEDIUM    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 449.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
15 June 2021   MEDIUM    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 456.68 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 May 2021   MEDIUM    factory0.944   Double Seven $ 459.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 April 2021   MEDIUM    factory0.946   Double Seven $ 400.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2021   MEDIUM    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 394.85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 February 2021   MEDIUM    factory0.951   Double Seven $ 369.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 January 2021   MEDIUM    factory0.947   Double Seven $ 402.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
30 November 2020   MEDIUM    factory0.946   Double Seven $ 416.15 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 October 2020   MEDIUM    factory0.947   Double Seven $ 359.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 September 2020   MEDIUM    factory0.943   Double Seven $ 342.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 August 2020   MEDIUM    factory0.944   Double Seven $ 351.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 July 2020   MEDIUM    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 323.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 June 2020   MEDIUM    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 309.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM    factory0.946   Double Seven $ 261.05 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 February 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM    factory0.951   Double Seven $ 305.07 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 January 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM    factory0.947   Double Seven $ 336.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 December 2019  bubble_chart   MEDIUM    factory0.946   Double Seven $ 312.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
28 October 2019  bubble_chart   MEDIUM    factory0.947   Double Seven $ 313.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
24 September 2019  bubble_chart   MEDIUM    factory0.943   Double Seven $ 285.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
26 October 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM    factory0.947   Double Seven $ 262.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
24 September 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM    factory0.943   Double Seven $ 341.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 August 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM    factory0.944   Double Seven $ 355.49 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 July 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 328.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
18 June 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 304.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
15 May 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM    factory0.944   Double Seven $ 286.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 April 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM    factory0.946   Double Seven $ 270.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM    factory0.946   Double Seven $ 268.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 February 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM    factory0.951   Double Seven $ 241.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 January 2018   MEDIUM    factory0.947   Double Seven $ 224.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
28 November 2017   MEDIUM    factory0.944   Double Seven $ 197.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 October 2017   MEDIUM    factory0.947   Double Seven $ 189.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 May 2017   MEDIUM    factory0.944   Double Seven $ 178.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
28 March 2017   MEDIUM    factory0.946   Double Seven $ 222.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 February 2017   MEDIUM    factory0.951   Double Seven $ 240.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 January 2017   MEDIUM    factory0.947   Double Seven $ 226.11 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 December 2016   MEDIUM    factory0.946   Double Seven $ 218.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 September 2016   LOW    factory0.945   Double Seven $ 201.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 August 2016   LOW    factory0.944   Double Seven $ 213.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 July 2016   LOW    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 203.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 June 2016   LOW    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 203.22 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 May 2016   LOW    factory0.944   Double Seven $ 209.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 April 2016   LOW    factory0.946   Double Seven $ 209.93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 March 2016   LOW    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 199.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
15 October 2015   LOW    factory0.947   Double Seven $ 200.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for W.W. Grainger (exchange: XNYS symbol: GWW) was last updated 11 Jun 2026 07:21. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 10 Jun 2026.