Flowers Foods Inc (FLO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to FLO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 1.58%.   Win rate: 83.33%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.149.   Maximum drawdown: -35.54% on 21 July 2025.
Mean CAGR: 95.08%. Time in market: 3576 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1555.24 on 19 May 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Flowers Foods

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 18 signal(s) occurring before 30 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (83.33% * 8.58%) + (0% * 0%) - (16.67% * 33.42%) = 1.58%.
Wins: 15 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Flowers Foods Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
23 March 2026   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.958 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 8.29 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
17 February 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.968 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 10.00 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 January 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.98 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 10.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
28 October 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.957 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 12.68 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 September 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.923 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 12.77 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
25 August 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.942 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 15.52 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 July 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.981 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 15.70 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 June 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.989 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 16.56 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 May 2025   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.985 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 17.34 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 March 2025   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.978 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 18.30 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 January 2025   HIGH     smart_toy0.996 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 19.27 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 December 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.773 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 21.58 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
08 November 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.783 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 21.87 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 June 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.889 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 22.48 select_check_box schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 September 2023   HIGH     smart_toy0.938 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 22.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 August 2023   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.954 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 23.91 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
21 June 2023   HIGH     smart_toy0.989 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 23.97 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
19 May 2023   HIGH     smart_toy0.978 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 25.51 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 September 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.984 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 24.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
14 June 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.971 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 24.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 March 2022   HIGH     smart_toy0.967 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 25.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 July 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.744 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 23.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 February 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.783 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 22.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 January 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.811 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 21.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 November 2020   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.908 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 23.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 March 2020   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.989 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 20.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 October 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.881 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 21.11 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
24 December 2018   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.958 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 17.19 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 September 2018   HIGH     smart_toy0.793 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 17.77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 June 2017   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.893 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 15.85 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 May 2017   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.835 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 16.82 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 August 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.904 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 14.49 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Flowers Foods Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: FLO) was last updated 08 May 2026 01:35. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 07 May 2026.