Flowers Foods Inc (FLO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to FLO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: -3.80%.   Win rate: 30.0%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.248.
Mean CAGR of winning trades: 13.77%. Time in market: 3241 days.   Average win: 18.94% Average loss: -13.55%.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Flowers Foods

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 10 signal(s): (30.0% * 18.94%) - (70.0% * 13.55%) = -3.80%.
Wins: 3 Losses: 7

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Flowers Foods Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Rate of Change Backtest Summary (Trailing Stops System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Rate of Change entry signal and held until the initial 20% stop loss or the trailing stop loss was triggered.

Key:   electric_bolt : high CAGR trade schedule : open trade

Signal Date Price CAGR Profit / Loss Running Avg
22 February 2016   LOW   $14.22 -13.88% -6.76% -6.76 %
16 August 2016   LOW   $13.33 22.82% electric_bolt 18.94% 6.09 %
23 May 2018 bubble_chart   HIGH   $18.17 3.26% 6.06% 6.08 %
27 March 2020 bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.981 $19.25 15.24% electric_bolt 31.82% 12.52 %
16 March 2022 bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.983 $25.05 -0.20% -0.24% 9.96 %
05 June 2023 bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.984 $24.50 -13.66% -20.94% 4.81 %
24 December 2024   MEDIUM   $20.48 -38.66% -20.36% 1.22 %
05 September 2025   MEDIUM   $14.62 -72.79% -20.69% -1.52 %
26 November 2025   MEDIUM   $10.80 -28.70% -7.40% -2.17 %
23 February 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.968 $10.04 -85.93% schedule -18.47% -3.8 %

 

The data for Flowers Foods Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: FLO) was last updated 10 Apr 2026 04:53. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 09 Apr 2026.