Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to QQQ's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 6.80%.   Win rate: 87.80%.   Sharpe Ratio: -7.435.   Maximum drawdown: -34.48% on 28 December 2022.
Mean CAGR: 68.2%. Time in market: 5790 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1164.97 on 12 June 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Nasdaq 100

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 41 signal(s) occurring before 04 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (87.80% * 7.98%) + (7.32% * 0.19%) - (4.88% * 4.45%) = 6.80%.
Wins: 36 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 2

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

Double Seven Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Double Seven entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
20 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.791  factory0.741   Double Seven $ 709.12 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.765  factory0.525   Double Seven $ 700.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
30 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.951  factory0.904   Double Seven $ 562.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 March 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.965  factory0.848   Double Seven $ 566.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.965  factory0.419   Double Seven $ 605.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 February 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.945  factory0.619   Double Seven $ 604.01 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 January 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.647  factory0.658   Double Seven $ 621.22 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
20 January 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.779  factory0.744   Double Seven $ 609.30 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 December 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.799  factory0.655   Double Seven $ 620.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
16 December 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.989  factory0.921   Double Seven $ 610.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 November 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.612  factory0.749   Double Seven $ 597.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.984  factory0.925   Double Seven $ 604.20 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
15 October 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.904  factory0.728   Double Seven $ 603.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.972  factory0.911   Double Seven $ 600.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
05 September 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.981  factory0.76   Double Seven $ 578.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
04 August 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.917  factory0.709   Double Seven $ 561.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 June 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.907  factory0.655   Double Seven $ 551.45 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 June 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.976  factory0.937   Double Seven $ 538.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 May 2025   LOW    factory0.775   Double Seven $ 518.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 May 2025   MEDIUM    factory0.928   Double Seven $ 513.83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 April 2025   HIGH    factory0.906   Double Seven $ 430.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 March 2025   MEDIUM    factory0.915   Double Seven $ 478.09 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 March 2025   LOW    factory0.91   Double Seven $ 494.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 February 2025   MEDIUM    factory0.932   Double Seven $ 521.55 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
31 January 2025   LOW    factory0.859   Double Seven $ 524.60 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
03 January 2025   MEDIUM    factory0.933   Double Seven $ 515.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
30 December 2024   LOW    factory0.892   Double Seven $ 515.56 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
02 December 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.92   Double Seven $ 513.15 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 November 2024   LOW    factory0.885   Double Seven $ 508.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
29 October 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.914   Double Seven $ 497.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
25 October 2024   LOW    factory0.82   Double Seven $ 495.23 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
27 September 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.899   Double Seven $ 488.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 September 2024   LOW    factory0.777   Double Seven $ 483.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 August 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.921   Double Seven $ 477.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
20 August 2024   LOW    factory0.804   Double Seven $ 480.30 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 July 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.937   Double Seven $ 481.02 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 July 2024   LOW    factory0.675   Double Seven $ 477.20 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 June 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.934   Double Seven $ 480.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 June 2024   LOW    factory0.683   Double Seven $ 482.26 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 May 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.928   Double Seven $ 453.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 May 2024   LOW    factory0.749   Double Seven $ 444.29 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 April 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.915   Double Seven $ 431.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 April 2024   LOW    factory0.565   Double Seven $ 439.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 March 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.915   Double Seven $ 434.71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 March 2024   LOW    factory0.785   Double Seven $ 441.70 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 February 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.927   Double Seven $ 436.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 February 2024   LOW    factory0.898   Double Seven $ 435.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 January 2024   MEDIUM    factory0.933   Double Seven $ 403.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 January 2024   LOW    factory0.788   Double Seven $ 401.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 December 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.92   Double Seven $ 390.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 December 2023   LOW    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 385.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 November 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.925   Double Seven $ 368.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 November 2023   LOW    factory0.955   Double Seven $ 366.23 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 October 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.892   Double Seven $ 356.85 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 October 2023   LOW    factory0.921   Double Seven $ 359.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 September 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.918   Double Seven $ 379.00 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 August 2023   LOW    factory0.91   Double Seven $ 370.66 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 July 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.931   Double Seven $ 383.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 July 2023   LOW    factory0.643   Double Seven $ 382.11 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 June 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.937   Double Seven $ 361.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 June 2023   LOW    factory0.711   Double Seven $ 359.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
22 May 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.928   Double Seven $ 336.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 May 2023   LOW    factory0.534   Double Seven $ 321.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 April 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.915   Double Seven $ 319.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 March 2023   LOW    factory0.949   Double Seven $ 307.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 March 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.915   Double Seven $ 306.04 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 February 2023   LOW    factory0.936   Double Seven $ 294.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 February 2023   MEDIUM    factory0.927   Double Seven $ 302.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 February 2022   LOW    factory0.802   Double Seven $ 352.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 January 2022   LOW    factory0.756   Double Seven $ 377.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 December 2021   LOW    factory0.361   Double Seven $ 395.43 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
05 November 2021   LOW    factory0.314   Double Seven $ 399.32 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
04 October 2021   LOW    factory0.315   Double Seven $ 355.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
31 August 2021   LOW    factory0.223   Double Seven $ 380.23 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 July 2021   LOW    factory0.171   Double Seven $ 363.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
28 June 2021   LOW    factory0.237   Double Seven $ 352.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
25 May 2021   LOW    factory0.248   Double Seven $ 333.52 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 April 2021   LOW    factory0.178   Double Seven $ 337.64 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
23 March 2021   LOW    factory0.211   Double Seven $ 318.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 February 2021   LOW    factory0.582   Double Seven $ 332.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Invesco QQQ Trust (exchange: XNAS symbol: QQQ) was last updated 12 Jun 2026 03:25. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 11 Jun 2026.