Qualcomm Inc (QCOM) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to QCOM's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 7.50%.   Win rate: 83.33%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.953.   Maximum drawdown: -45.73% on 24 May 2023.
Mean CAGR: 98.52%. Time in market: 5210 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2777.50 on 14 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Qualcomm

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 30 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (83.33% * 9.95%) + (10.0% * 1.07%) - (6.67% * 13.46%) = 7.50%.
Wins: 25 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Qualcomm Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
04 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.543   Gap Down $ 172.80 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 January 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.622   Gap Down $ 172.58 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 November 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.749   Gap Down $ 169.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
10 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.698   Gap Down $ 159.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
31 July 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.631   Gap Down $ 149.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 May 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.977   Gap Down $ 137.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 September 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.801   Gap Down $ 167.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 July 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.812   Gap Down $ 185.20 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 June 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.605   Gap Down $ 219.84 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
25 October 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.918   Gap Down $ 105.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 September 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.797   Gap Down $ 107.27 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 August 2023   LOW   smart_toy0.596   Gap Down $ 115.68 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 November 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.846   Gap Down $ 121.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
28 July 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.944   Gap Down $ 148.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 May 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.926   Gap Down $ 136.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 April 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.932   Gap Down $ 148.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 March 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.803   Gap Down $ 167.32 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 December 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.686   Gap Down $ 184.22 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
10 November 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.711   Gap Down $ 162.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
10 May 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.653   Gap Down $ 132.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 March 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.621   Gap Down $ 133.63 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 January 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.669   Gap Down $ 156.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 December 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.823   Gap Down $ 146.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 September 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.635   Gap Down $ 118.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 June 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.64   Gap Down $ 85.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.973   FIRE SALE Gap Down $ 74.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 October 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.783   Gap Down $ 72.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.835   Gap Down $ 63.69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 April 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.615   Gap Down $ 49.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 March 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.602   Gap Down $ 55.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 February 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.894   Gap Down $ 58.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
31 October 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.786   Gap Down $ 46.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 September 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.775   Gap Down $ 46.19 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 July 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.665   Gap Down $ 48.91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 January 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.662   Gap Down $ 57.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 December 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.803   Gap Down $ 58.01 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 June 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.484   Gap Down $ 45.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 January 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.944   Gap Down $ 39.01 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 December 2015   LOW   smart_toy0.636   Gap Down $ 42.51 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Qualcomm Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: QCOM) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 15 May 2026.